What would a successful season look like for the Blue Jays in 2025?

The Blue Jays enter the 2025 season in an interesting spot. After making the postseason in two of the last three seasons, FanGraphs has the Blue Jays on the outside looking in this season (83 wins and a 43.4% chance to make the Postseason).

That, coupled with the 27th-best farm system in baseball (per MLB Pipeline) and the expiring contracts of Vladimir Guerrero Jr and Bo Bichette does not bode well for the future. However, a new season brings new opportunities for success. Here are three things that must happen for Blue Jays fans to feel satisfied in 2025.

These three things would lead to a successful season for Toronto.

1. Important prospects take key steps in their development

Although the Blue Jays farm system ranking leaves a lot to be desired, there are still a lot of intriguing players who are worth keeping an eye on.

Arjun Nimmala was taken with the 20th selection in the 2023 MLB draft. Now the young shortstop finds himself as Toronto's No. 1 Blue Jays prospect per MLB Pipeline, and the 86th overall in the MLB. Nimmala should start the 2025 season with the Dunedin Blue Jays, Toronto's Single-A affiliate.

Nimmala has played in 82 games at Single-A, and showed off his tremendous power when he hit 13 home runs in his final 53 games last season. More of this would be a welcome sign as Nimmala continues to get closer to MLB.

If Nimmala continues to improve, he could position himself to be the successor to Bo Bichette. He's looking to become the first MLB player of Indian descent.

The Blue Jays second ranked prospect is Trey Yesavage, who was taken with the No. 20 pick in the 2024 MLB Draft.

The Blue Jays rotation isn't getting any younger. Four of the starters in Toronto's Opening Day rotation are 30+, so it's a position they'll need to address sooner rather than later. If Yesavage is able to make significant strides this season, he could very well become a future ace. The thought of he and Ricky Tiedemann leading Toronto's rotation in the future should be an exciting thought for Blue Jays fans.

Many variables are in play when determining what is a successful season. For the Blue Jays, seeing their last two top draft selections develop would be massive for the future outlook of the team.

2. Extending Vladimir Guerrero Jr

Plain and simple, Guerrero must be on the Blue Jays' Opening Day roster in 2026.

Extending Guerrero must be the front office's No.1 priority over the next year. And, if Mark Shapiro's Recent comments are any indication, it seems like Toronto is hopeful to extend the four-time All Star.

If Vladdy ends up on another team next season, it will be one of, if not the biggest, mistake in Blue Jays history. He's a future Hall of Famer, and they should be doing everything in their power to keep him in Toronto.

This will be a heavy topic of conversation throughout the entire season, and it'll be tough to label this season as a success without Guerrero getting a long-term extension.

3. Playoff success

The Blue Jays have the fourth-highest payroll in baseball this year.

When you're spending that much money, you have to have success on the field. Although the current Blue Jays roster definitely has some question marks, it's still a competitive roster that should be able to compete for a postseason spot.

While the Blue Jays have made the postseason three times since 2020, they still have yet to win a postseason game.

Making the postseason this year would be great, but the Blue Jays also need to have some postseason success to come with it. The team's only postseason wins under Ross Atkins and Mark Shapiro came in 2016 with a roster they inherited. Another season without a playoff win should result in both of them being let go.

Bichette and Guerrero have not won a postseason game in their careers, and this year will be a failure if that streak continutes.