Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s stats discrepancy between Blue Jays wins and losses tell the entire story

In order for the Toronto Blue Jays to have had a successful season in 2026, many believed that the face of the franchise, Vladimir Guerrero Jr., would have to play a huge part in dictating that success. If Guerrero is hitting the ball and providing consistent run production, the Blue Jays likely will get their fair share of wins. But if Vladdy is struggling and not getting it done in key moments, Toronto would be in tough to scratch out victories.

That's been the case throughout the season and unfortunately it's been a lot more of the latter than the former. In fact, Guerrero’s huge stats discrepancy between wins and losses by the Blue Jays practically tells the entire story of their season.

In games in which Toronto has won with Vladdy in the lineup, he has posted a strong .366 batting average, .948 OPS, along with 58 runs scored, 18 doubles, seven home runs and 41 RBIs in 68 games played. On the other hand, when the Blue Jays end up in the loss column with Vladdy on the field, he has compiled a dreadful .153 average, .429 OPS, with just 13 runs scored, six doubles, two home runs and 15 RBIs in 69 total games played. Guerrero has close to a 200 point difference in batting average and a little more than 500 point difference in OPS.

To put an exclamation mark on everything, his WPA since June 1st says it all. As of September 15, Guerrero ranked dead last in the American League and third last in MLB with a WPA of -1.88 since the start of June. Only JJ Bleday and Nolan Arenado had been even worse.

Vladimir Guerrero's lack of production is a big reaso for the Blue Jays' record

For someone who the Blue Jays have counted upon to be their leader, especially after signing a $500 contract extension, Guerrero has certainly disappointed tremendously this season. It has been a bad year for Vladdy and the Blue Jays as a result. Had Guerrero just put up league average numbers in some of Toronto's losses, those likely would have flipped into wins. Instead the Blue Jays are scratching and clawing their way to a potential postseason berth right now.

But most importantly, despite all of that, Toronto has managed to still be in the playoff hunt with just over a week to go. In a time where the Blue Jays need to string together some big wins, will it finally be the time for Guerrero to come up big once and for all? Blue Jays fans will find out in the coming days.

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