July will be a pivotal month for Blue Jays

This could be a make or break month for the Blue Jays
Alejandro Kirk
Alejandro Kirk | Mark Blinch/GettyImages

When April concluded, the Toronto Blue Jays were struggling with a 14-16 record and an offense that was ranked near the bottom of the league in most major categories. At the end of May, the Blue Jays had a 30-28 record, mostly behind some consistent pitching, but the bats were starting to heat up.

Heading into June, the Blue Jays needed to be consistent to get back into the postseason chase and that's exactly what they did. Toronto had a solid month, winning six series including a sweep of the St. Louis Cardinals.

July has now arrived an as Canadians celebrate Canada Day today, the Blue Jays will be the talk of the country as they chase a postseason spot. The Blue Jays are eager to get back into the postseason for the fourth time since 2020. However, July will be a pivotal month to determine the Blue Jays' future plans.

Blue Jays' performance for July will determine if team will buy or sell at deadline

The Blue Jays are holding a Wild Card spot in the American League with a 46-38 record. Even though the Blue Jays are in third place in the AL East, they are just two games behind the New York Yankees for the division lead after a dramatic win in the series opener against the Bronx Bombers on Monday.

If the Blue Jays have a solid July, they will no doubt be buyers at the trade deadline. General Manager Ross Atkins recently alluded to their plans should everything go right for Toronto over the next two or three weeks. However, if the Blue Jays struggle and fall out of a Wild Card spot, other teams will be lining up to take over some of Toronto's assets to improve their club.

In particular, shortstop Bo Bichette was linked to rumors in May that he was drawing interest from the Milwaukee Brewers. Bichette is a free agent at the end of the season and if the Jays fall out of a playoff spot they would likely be more inclined to move him in order to recoup some value before he tests the free agent market. This isn't to suggest the Blue Jays can't resign him in the offseason like they did with Yimi Garcia, but they would be risking getting nothing in return if he walks away.

One thing the Blue Jays need is a power bat. The Blue Jays have only three hitters with 10 home runs or more. Anthony Santander was signed in the offseason to provide that power, but he has struggled in 2025 and has been sidelined since the end of May. The Blue Jays should be searching for a power bat if they keep winning instead of potentially trading one away.

If the Blue Jays stay in contention starting pitching would be Another area the Blue Jays need to target at the deadline. All of Toronto's starters (outside of Eric Lauer) have an ERA over 3.25. Even with Max Scherzer coming back off the injured list, if the Blue Jays want to have a deep run they will likely need more starting pitching.

However, if the Blue Jays struggle in July, it can lead them to potentially selling their pitchers at the deadline. One in particular is Chris Bassitt who will be a free agent after 2025. Bassitt is a capable bottom guy in a rotation who can produce and would likely be a nice pick up for a contending team.

While the Blue Jays are in a postseason position as July begins, they have teams chasing them in the standings that will be looking to stay hot as well. Each game in July will be pivotal and the Blue Jays will need to be at their best to not fall out of a postseason spot and become a seller at the deadline.
June's turnaround was highly needed for the Blue Jays, and they will need more of that throughout July to make sure they remain in contention for a 2025 postseason spot.