The Toronto Blue Jays run to the 2025 World Series feels like a distant memory right now. A team that got hot in June and just rode a wave all the way to the final game of the season was expected to once again be competitive in 2026. However, it hasn't turned out that way and it feels like the Blue Jays, who were a "Team of Destiny" has completely dissolved.
Some of that has to do with the untimely injuries. Several key players got hurt pretty much out of the gate which put the team behind in the early going. But as the summer has gone on, the core group that made the Blue Jays so dominant and fun to watch a year ago hasn't performed to the same standards.
Statistically speaking, their top six position players from 2025 have had a dramatic drop off in terms of overall WAR in 2026. George Springer, Alejandro Kirk, Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Ernie Clement, Daulton Varsho and Addison Barger combined for 21.4 WAR last year. This year, that group has combined to produce 3.7.
Look at the top 7 pos players from last year's Jays team. You can swap Bichette->Okamoto pretty easily in terms of value, so ignore that for now.
— Mike Petriello (@mike_petriello) July 20, 2026
The remaining 6: well, this is it. There's other stuff on the margins and in rotation, but this is the main story. Stars gotta star. pic.twitter.com/dGLaz1owbS
There are some caveats to this. Barger has played less than a dozen games this season due to injuries. Kirk had a slower start as well after spending a month on the IL. They also don't have Bo Bichette, who produced a 3.8 fWAR for Toronto in 2025, but they essentially replaced him with Kazuma Okamoto who has, to this point, produced a 2.0 fWAR which leads the team.
When six guys who are expected to carry the load offensively for the team fall off this much in a single season, there are going to be issues and the Blue Jays are seeing those issues surface in real time.
Blue Jays fan base feeling heartbreak and frustration at the same time
An underlying result of this season is that the Blue Jays are doing themselves a huge disservice with the fan base. They gained a ton of fans with their run last year. Fans that were not only excited about the prospects of watching a competitive team in 2026, but who also got a chance to reconnect with the glory days of the past with the team doing a tremendous job of honoring their 50th season.
Between the give aways, the pregame ceremonies, the Blue Jays Way series, and the first ever Blue Jays' player statue outside of Rogers Centre, the fans have been over loaded with nostalgia throughout the year, and there is more to come with fan favourite broadcaster Buck Martinez set to be inducted into the brand new Blue Jays Hall of Excellence in August. If there was any chance to capitalize with the good vibes surrounding the team, this was the year.
But the on-field product just hasn't been able to keep up and sometimes that's the danger of confusing chemistry with sustainability. Even that doesn't feel right though as the Blue Jays front office did a tremendous job in the offseason of picking up players to add to the core. Dylan Cease is a legitimate Cy Young award candidate. Tyler Rogers has been one of the best arms in the bullpen this season. And as mentioned, Okamoto leads the team in offensive production.
Some fans are still holding out hope that a run like last year is still somewhere in the tank and that the players just haven't unlocked it yet. Other fans are ready to move on and look ahead with a focus on selling at the deadline. Regardless of what side people are falling on, it's clear that to this point, the follow up to a magical season has been a real dud.
