Can the Blue Jays repeat their Seattle sweep from May to get back into the series?

After losing the first two games of the ALCS at home to the Seattle Mariners, the Toronto Blue Jays headed to Seattle for games 3, 4, and 5 if necessary. While playing on the road in the playoffs can prove to be a daunting task, the Blue Jays have a great track record in Seattle this season.

After Wednesday nights 13-4 win behind a strong start from Shane Bieber, the Blue Jays are looking to become just the fourth team to come back from an 0-2 deficit in LCS history, but the odds might not all be stacked up against them. There's a reason Toronto was one of the toughest and most successful teams all season, and this isn't just going to disappear in the span of a week.

Can the Blue Jays repeat their Seattle sweep from May to get back into the series?

In a three-game set these teams played from May 9-11 this year, the Blue Jays swept the Mariners while outscoring them by a margin of 21-7. If Toronto wants to come back in this ALCS, it's literally mandatory that they at least take two out of the three road games this series. Otherwise, it's another year of disappointment and back to square one next season.

Pitcher's Park

The depth in Toronto's lineup really brought their strong bats in that series in May, as names that were looking to earn consistent starting roles played exceptionally well. Addison Barger batted a ridiculous .462 in this series (6 for 13) with a home run and three doubles to go alongside five RBI's. Ernie Clement also had a hot series, hitting .455 (5 for 11) with a three-hit game and driving in two runs of his own.

On the pitching side, the Blue Jays' bullpen allowed zero runs throughout the series and Seattle only scored runs against Kevin Gausman, Bowden Francis, and José Ureña, two of whom are not on Toronto's playoff roster. If the Blue Jays can tap into this level of dominance in Seattle once more over the next two games, this series could be flipped on its head.

T-Mobile Park has long been known as a very pitcher-friendly ballpark, and Baseball Savant's Park Factor metrics show that it is the hardest park for hitters to find success in. If Toronto's league-best offense is able to put it together in what has been a very tough stadium for hitters, they could come all the way back, . The Blue Jays slashed .315/.371/.486 in their three games in Seattle this year, so they've proven their ability to steal a series in this park.

T-Mobile Park has also played host to two of the most lengthy postseason games in recent MLB history, those being Game 3 of the 2022 ALDS against the Houston Astros (1-0 Houston win in 18 innings) and Game 5 of the 2025 ALDS against the Tigers (3-2 Mariners win in 15 innings). Historically this is a hard park to generate offense in, but the Blue Jays are going to need to defy the odds.

In their previous meeting with the M's in Seattle this season, Toronto enjoyed scoring early, notching seven runs combined in the first four innings of each game in the series. Before they broke out in Game 3 of the ALCS, in Games 1 and 2, Toronto had scored all of their four runs in the first two innings of each game.

We saw how they dismantled the Yankees bit by bit, and there's no reason why the Blue Jays can't continue on that path against Seattle for the remainder of the series.