One of the many pleasant surprises the Toronto Blue Jays have experienced this season is Daulton Varsho's power upswing. While his third season in a Blue Jays uniform has been hampered by multiple stays on the injured list, when Varsho has been in the lineup he has put up some wild home run numbers.
In 152 plate appearances this season, Varsho is only batting .235 thanks to his power-happy approach, but with a .884 OPS and 34 RBIs.
Varsho hit his 13th home run of the season on Saturday in the Blue Jays' 14-2 romp over the Texas Rangers. Entering Monday's action, he has only appeared in 38 games this season and has 32 hits. So, 13 of his 32 hits have been home runs.
Scheduled Tweet:
— Toronto Blue Jays (@BlueJays) August 16, 2025
VARSHO GOES YARD! pic.twitter.com/djm2aaDCh0
While it's possible, Daulton Varsho's home run pace is unlikely to last
If those numbers don't seem to make sense, it's because they don't. Varsho has seen an otherworldly 40.6 percent of his hits end up as home runs. Is that sustainable? Not likely. But it's fun as heck to watch while it lasts.
That type of home run pace is difficult to maintain, regardless of the name on the back of the jersey. Currently, Varsho is outpacing Barry Bonds, who for his career hit nearly 26 percent of his 2,935 hits for home runs (762). During his 73-home run campaign in 2001, 46.8 percent of Bond's 156 hits went for home runs. However, Varsho isn't Barry Bonds.
Some of this year's elite home run mashers are around Varsho's 40.6 percent mark. MLB home run leader Cal Raleigh is at 40.9 percent (47 in 115 hits). Kyle Schwarber sits at 37.1 percent (43 in 116 hits). Shohei Ohtani is a bit lower at 31.6 percent (43 in 136 hits).
The difference is that Varsho doesn't have the same track record as those at the top of the home run leaderboard. Coming into this season 18.5 percent of his hits were home runs. It's possible he could continue this pace, and Blue Jays fans will certainly be ecstatic if he does, but baseball has a way of leveling things out.
How is Varsho putting up such crazy home run numbers?
He has had some unforgettable highlights this season, including a two-homer, six-RBI game against the Colorado Rockies on Aug. 5. It is worth asking what Varsho is doing to make this home run magic in 2025. It's pretty simple, he's selling out for power to the pull side.
He has an elite 18.5 percent barrel rate paired with a top 28.3 percent pull air rate. He has also registered a career-high 113.9 mph max exit velocity and is posting a career-best 91 mph average exit velocity.
Longest Blue Jays Home Runs this season (Feet)
— Sportsnet Stats (@SNstats) August 6, 2025
Daulton Varsho Tuesday vs Rockies 467
Daulton Varsho Monday vs Rockies 451
Addison Barger July 13 vs A’s 448#LightsUpLetsGo pic.twitter.com/tcMeZ49a7f
All of those things have combined to help Varsho to up an impressive .554 xSLG. He doesn't have enough at-bats to qualify for the leaderboards, but if he did, that would rank 12th in the majors just behind teammate George Springer's .558 xSLG.
He'll keep making a high quality of contact and he'll continue hitting home runs, but he might not maintain his current pace. The best advice for Blue Jays fans is to enjoy the ride while it lasts.
