Let me begin by saying that most of the arb-eligible players for the Blue Jays are locks to be tendered contracts. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bring home a major raise, but let's face it; he's earned it. His not quite hitting expectations and boneheaded baserunning errors aside, the guy is a legitimate franchise cornerstone who is not going anywhere. Pay the man.
Beyond him, both Danny Jansen and Alejandro Kirk are projected to earn some well-deserved paydays as well. Jansen represents an old-school playstyle that consists of solid defense and a ton of home runs. If it weren't for a slew of injuries this year, he could've put together a truly special season. Kirk is up for a Gold Glove Award and had a strong season in his own right. Having such a strong catching tandem is a treat for the Blue Jays, one they should cherish for as long as they have it.
Cavan Biggio's second-half performance alone is enough for him to be brought back. While his $3.7M arb prediction is nearly a million-dollar raise, he's earned it. The 28-year-old showed some serious signs of life this year and could finally be on the cusp of a full season of consistent playing time next year.
The last position player who is a lock is Daulton Varsho. The expectations put on his shoulders have always been massive, but he did a solid job in his first year with the Blue Jays. Not only is he also a Gold Glove finalist in left field, but he has a high baseball IQ and is capable of hitting 20 home runs a year. He brings a ton of different tools to the table and is likely going to be around for a while, regardless of how Gabriel Moreno does in Arizona.
The group of pitchers here is strong as well. Génesis Cabrera, Tim Mayza, Jordan Romano and Erik Swanson are the only arms that are locks to be brought back, although some of the others feel likely to return. Mayza's breakout performance this year is one of the more underrated ones in the majors and he should continue to be brought back by the Blue Jays for as long as he's producing. Romano and Swanson formed a lethal back-end duo and are expected to fill the exact same roles in 2024.