Giants vs. Blue Jays prediction and odds for Thursday, June 29 (Can Bassitt Survive the First?)

Toronto Blue Jays starting pitcher Chris Bassitt (40)
Toronto Blue Jays starting pitcher Chris Bassitt (40) / Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports

It’s time for the rubber match in Toronto as the Blue Jays and San Francisco Giants have split the first two of their three game interleague series north of the border. Last night it was the Blue Jays responding for a 6-1 win after a five-run first inning. Today, they’ll send a pitcher to the mound with some first inning troubles of his own this year. 

Chris Bassitt will make the start for Toronto, his 17th of the year and he comes in with a 7-5 record and an ERA of 4.32. He will be opposed by a rookie making his first career start and fourth appearance of this season, Keaton Winn. Winn has a 3.75 ERA in 12.0 innings with one save to his name. Let’s get into the odds for the final game between the Giants and Blue Jays. 

Giants vs. Blue Jays odds, run line and total

Giants vs. Blue Jays prediction and odds

Chris Bassitt has the second worst first inning ERA of any pitcher in baseball so far this year at 9.00. Only Lance Lynn is worse. Bassitt has given up 16 runs on 18 hits with six home runs in the first inning this season, but once he gets through it, it’s been smooth sailing for the most part. 

The Giants might not be the type of team to punish him before he gets the third out of the game. San Francisco is 14th in first inning runs per game, about as average as can be, which isn’t necessarily a bad thing, but it means they’re less likely to expose Bassitt's biggest flaw. 

Toronto had big issues against Alex Wood for large stretches of the game on Tuesday night, but against righties they’ve been better this season and in this series. Yesterday, they jumped all over Logan Webb, a much better right-handed starter than Keaton Winn projects to be. The Blue Jays have a lot of right-handed power bats, but they mostly have reverse spits and are a top 10 team in OPS against righties, but 19th against lefties. I trust Bo Bichette and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to pound a rookie like Winn and I expect the Blue Jays to take the win at home.

Follow all Josh Yourish’s bets HERE

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change