Braves vs. Blue Jays prediction and odds for Saturday, May 13 (Don't Expect Another Pitcher's Duel)

Toronto Blue Jays pitcher Jose Berrios (17)
Toronto Blue Jays pitcher Jose Berrios (17) / Gregory Fisher-USA TODAY Sports

Yesterday was an absolute pitcher’s up in Canada as Spencer Strider went 6.2 only allowing two runs, just one earned, with 12 strikeouts and he was outdone by Chris Bassitt’s complete game two-hitter.

The Toronto Blue Jays won one of the best pitching matchups of the year 3-0 to get to 22-16 on the season. The Atlanta Braves are just a few games better, 25-13 and they are sitting comfortably atop the NL East. 

Today, we might get the same type of dominance on the mound as the home team hands the ball to Jose Berrios with his 4.91 ERA and 3-3 record. The Braves will counter with Bryce Elder who is 3-0 with a 1.74 ERA through seven starts. 

Let’s take a look at the odds for what could be a more high-scoring game up in Toronto tonight. 

Braves vs. Blue Jays odds, run line and total

Braves vs. Blue Jays prediction and pick

Jose Berrios is having a very interesting season. He still hasn’t been good for the Blue Jays overall, but has one encouraging sign, a FIP of 3.22 which could be a sign of some positive regression. He also has his fewest walks per nine of his career. However, the rest of the numbers are not so encouraging. Berrios has an expected ERA of 5.02, and an expected batting average and expected slugging in the 18th and 17th percentiles. 

Since the start of May, the Atlanta Braves have an OPS of .818 which is fifth in baseball and their 19 home runs are second in the league. For the season their .793 OPS is second and 60 home runs are fourth. All of that is to say that this team is not going to get shut out often. What Bassitt did yesterday was incredible and will not be replicated. 

Bryce Elder is the opposite of Berrios with a stellar ERA under two, but a FIP of 3.66. Elder also has an expected ERA of 4.30. Some lineup is going to get to him soon, and it might be the Blue Jays today. 

Follow all Josh Yourish’s bets HERE

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change