Blue Jays vs. Orioles prediction and odds for Wednesday, Aug. 23 (Fade Kremer and O's)

Dean Kremer's underlying metrics hint that the Blue Jays are a good bet on Wednesday.
Aug 22, 2023; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Toronto Blue Jays first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (27)
Aug 22, 2023; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Toronto Blue Jays first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (27) / Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports

The Toronto Blue Jays scored a massive road win in extra innings against the AL East leading Orioles, can the team follow it up with another road victory?

Toronto will hope to knock around Orioles starter Dean Kremer, who has a ton of negative regression coming his way over the stretch run of the season. The Blue Jays will hope that ace Kevin Gausman can keep down an emerging Orioles lineup in hopes of scoring a much needed win.

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Blue Jays vs. Orioles odds, run line and total

Blue Jays vs. Orioles prediction and pick

Kremer has skated by this season despite plenty of red flags in his statistical profile. He has posted a 4.50 ERA this season with an xERA of 5.33, meaning that he has been lucky to post even his mediocre ERA. Kremer has allowed a ton of hard contact this season, allowing a home run to fly ball rate north of 15%, a bad sign moving forward this season.

Kremer has been lucky to avoid poor outings agianst the Blue Jays this season. Despite allowing a combined three earned runs against Toronto in two starts, he allowed 17 hits in the process across 11.1 innings. He has allowed far too much contact and it will catch up with him in this matchup.

Meanwhile, look for Gausman to keep it rolling on the road.

While he couldn't get out of the fourth inning against the Orioles in his most recent start against the AL East rival, Gausman has been in Cy Young form all season.

He leads the American League in K/9 (11.7) and has a Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) below 3.00, hinting he's been even better than his numbers indicate (3.24 vs. 2.84).

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.