The Toronto Blue Jays and Cleveland Guardians have been playing in low-scoring games so far this series, with a total of just five combined runs being scored through the first two games.
Expect more of the same tonight when Kevin Gausman gets the start against Logan Allen.
So, should we just blindly bet the UNDER again? Let's find out what the oddsmakers think.
Blue Jays vs. Guardians odds, run line, and total
Blue Jays vs. Guardians prediction and pick
If you want to back the UNDER again then I wouldn't blame you, but instead I like the Blue Jays to not only win, but win big.
Kevin Gausman is ready for a bounce back start after a few rough starts over the past few weeks against the Mariners and Orioles. Now, he gets to take on a Guardians team that ranks 24th in OPS at .697.
The most important factor in my decision to back the Blue Jays run line is tonight is they have been absolutely smashing lefties over the past month. In fact, over the last 30 days they lead the Majors in both batting average (.324) and OPS (.947) when facing left-handed pitchers.
Lefty Logan Allen gets the start for the Guardians tonight, and he is coming into this game ice cold. He has an ERA of 6.23 over his last three starts. I expect him to get pounded by the Jays again tonight.
At +100, I'll back the Jays run line.
Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.