Blue Jays vs. Astros prediction and odds for Tuesday, April 18 (How to bet over/under)

Apr 8, 2023; Anaheim, California, USA;  Toronto Blue Jays shortstop Bo Bichette (11) hits a home run
Apr 8, 2023; Anaheim, California, USA; Toronto Blue Jays shortstop Bo Bichette (11) hits a home run / Kiyoshi Mio-USA TODAY Sports

The Astros pounced on Blue Jays' starter Kevin Gausman with seven runs in the first inning and cruised to a 9-2 win.

The Jays take the field with revenge on its mind on Tuesday with offseason signing Chris Bassitt still looking to find his 2022 form. The team will face Houston, who sends Jose Urquidy to the mound with sterling metrics, but is it overrating his performance?

Here are the odds for this Tuesday night matchup:

Blue Jays vs. Astros odds, run line and total

Blue Jays vs. Astros prediction and pick

Bassitt has been way off his game since signing with the Blue Jays, posting a 7.63 ERA througt three starts, walking eight batters to 12 strikeouts. This isn't fluky either, Bassitt's Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) indicates that he has been right on line without factoring in fielding, posting a FIP of 7.76.

I can't trust Bassitt to keep down an offense that has as much potential as the Astros, who is fresh off a nine run outing. This game will likely be high scoring if the Blue Jays want to compete.

It helps that the team faces Jose Urquidy, who is pitching well above his head so far this seasn. He has allowed only four earned runs in over 15 innings of work, but has allowed 16 hits thus far, so he has been bailed out by help in the field to strand runner. Urquidy has a FIP of 4.31, nearly double his 2.35 ERA.

Toronto has an offense that hits .271 and has a wRC+ of 111 which is seventh in baseball, I believe they can go toe-to-toe with the Astros in a high scoring game. I can't trust Toronto with Bassitt on the mound to win, but I can count on both teams to generate enough offense to go over the total.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.