It's no secret that over the past year or two, the state of the Toronto Blue Jays' farm system has been ... less than ideal. This year in particular, things have been rough. Ricky Tiedemann, one of the top left-handed pitching prospects in all of baseball, can't stay healthy to save his life. Ditto for Brandon Barriera and Landen Maroudis, who are both on the long-term injured list.
On the position player side of things, Orelvis Martinez was handed an 80-game PED suspension just a few games into his big league career. Things haven't been going very well no matter where you look.
However, down in Low-A Dunedin, last year's first-round pick is starting to turn things around and attract attention from some of the game's top prospect evaluators. Arjun Nimmala is currently the youngest player in all of A-ball and is starting to tear the cover off the ball.
He had a slow start to the 2024 season, one that resulted in a stint down in the Florida Complex League. Since being recalled to Dunedin, he's hit nine home runs with 25 RBI in 28 games, good for a .257 batting average. The 18-year-old is still raw and is working through strikeout issues, but his bat is looking legit.
On the season, he is sporting a 118 wRC+ in 57 games in A-ball. During that time, he's sporting an ISO of .254, which is a very high number for someone his age. ISO is essentially a way to measure a player's raw power by subtracting their batting average from their slugging percentage.
To give you an idea of where his ISO would stack up against big leaguers, there are only 11 qualified major league hitters that have a higher one than .254. He'd be above the likes of Bobby Witt Jr., Ketel Marte, Yordan Alvarez, Pete Alonso and Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
In Baseball America's updated top-30 Blue Jays prospect ranking, Nimmala is listed at No. 6 behind the likes of Martinez, Tiedemann and the newly-acquired Jake Bloss and Joey Loperfido. He made it up to No. 3 in Jays Journal's updated prospect rankings as well.
If Nimmala keeps this pace up, he's got a chance to be the youngest player at each minor league level on his ascent to the big leagues. It took a little bit, but he's turned a page in the 2024 campaign and is starting to look a lot like the top-shelf talent evaluators thought he could turn into when he was initially drafted.