Blue Jays vs Dodgers 2025 World Series matchup breakdown by the numbers

For the first time in 32 years, the Toronto Blue Jays are finally back in the World Series. After dispatching their long-time division rival New York Yankees in the ALDS, along with their 2022 playoff nemesis Seattle Mariners in the ALCS, their greatest challenge is yet to come with the reigning champion Los Angeles Dodgers remaining in their path to the Holy Grail.

So how do the Blue Jays stack up against Shohei Ohtani and the Dodgers? Do they have a legitimate chance of dethroning the 2024 World Series champions? To determine that, let’s take a closer look at the numbers between the two teams.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers 2025 World Series matchup breakdown by the numbers

The following table compares the Blue Jays and Dodgers across various statistical categories during the 2025 MLB regular season with league ranking in parentheses.

From the offensive standpoint during the regular season, the Blue Jays and Dodgers were actually more evenly matched than one would think. Toronto might have had the slight edge in batting average, but Los Angeles made up for some of it with the amount of runs scored and overall OPS.

Nevertheless, both ranked among the top six in the league in those categories. There is apparently more of a difference when it came to the amount of home runs hit by both teams, with the Dodgers among the league’s best with 244. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, blasted only 191 long balls. But that has a lot to do with their method of generating runs playing “Blue Jays style baseball”, which focuses on the next man up in keeping the lineup rolling.

When it comes to pitching though, the dsiscrepancy becomes a bit more evident. Both teams are closely matched in terms of ERA and WHIP. However, the Dodgers pitching staff are the best team in the business in striking out batters, while the Blue Jays are among the worst in giving up home runs.

So it would be the Toronto hitters ability to avoid the strikeout versus the top strikeout pitching staff in the league and the Blue Jays homer-prone pitching staff versus one of the top home run hitting teams in the league. in the Dodgers. As a result, those aspects could very well determine who comes out on top when all is said and done.

The following table compares the statistical numbers between Toronto and Los Angeles during the current postseason with their ranking among all 12 playoff contenders in parentheses. Keep in mind that the Jays have played just one more playoff game than the Dodgers to date.

When taking a look at how each team has done so far during the 2025 postseason, it is the Blue Jays that have become the offensive powerhouse among all of the playoff contenders. They lead everyone by a wide margin whether it be batting average, runs scored, home runs or OPS. Nevertheless, the Dodgers have still fared decently on offense, ranking second or third in all of the categories.

On the other hand, the Dodgers pitching staff have been top notch throughout the current playoffs, highlighted by their utter dominance of the Milwaukee Brewers during the NLDS. In their four-game sweep, they held the top MLB team this season to just four runs on 14 hits for the ENTIRE series.

As for the Blue Jays, there’s no doubt pitching has been their primary weakness so far this postseason, with their elite offense masking most of their problems. Toronto ranks among the worst of all playoff contenders in ERA and WHIP and even actually dead last in home runs given up.

If it hadn’t been for some timely strikeouts, in which they are ranked first among the contenders, things could potentially been a lot worse. As a result, to have any success against the offensive juggernauts from the National League, the Blue Jays will need to tighten up their pitching significantly.

Head-to-head Blue Jays vs. Dodgers in 2025

The Blue Jays faced the Dodgers once only during 2025 in a three-game series in Los Angeles back in early August. Toronto went 1-2 against the reigning World Series champions while being outscored 18-7 in the process. Even for their only win against the Dodgers, it required some big-time, ninth-inning heroics by reliever Mason Fluharty to set down both Shohei Ohtani and Mookie Betts with the bases loaded to seal the deal. Otherwise, it easily could have been a three-game sweep for Los Angeles.

Overall Synopsis

As a result, the Blue Jays would appear to be the huge underdog entering the series against the heavily-favoured Dodgers. However, Toronto has proven to us time and time again that they could overcome anything to achieve winning and success with their relentless work ethic and determination.

The fact that we just all witnessed that during the ALCS against the Mariners means anything can happen in the World Series no matter what opponent they will be facing. As a result, look for the Blue Jays to give it their all in the winner takes all final matchup of the 2025 MLB season.