Blue Jays' recent hot stretch still hasn't solved this problem

The Toronto Blue Jays have been playing better baseball since they left the house of horrors known as Tropicana Field. They still have flaws and warts, but the team genuinely feels like it is forging a fresh identity after a whirlwind 2025 season. The question is can they keep it up?

Currently sitting at 29-30, they are closely resembling their 2025 pace at this point in the season. While a second straight American League East division title may be elusive, the Blue Jays are hovering around .500 as the month of May comes to a close. A subpar early start is beginning to feel like a distant memory.

Since May 8, the Blue Jays are batting .233./306/.379 with 21 HR while posting a 13-8 record overall (going into May 30). However, that hot stretch is masking a lack of overall offensive production. Included in that sample is a pair of bases-loaded walks in two victories against the New York Yankees and Baltimore Orioles. Fans have been biting their nails, but the good news is that they are still finding a way to win mostly due to solid pitching - Saturday's meltdown against the Orioles notwithstanding.

Blue Jays still looking for the offense to truly heat up

The bad news is they they find themselves among the bottom ten teams in baseball in most offensive categories. Most worryingly is the lack of home run power for a team built around right-handed sluggers.

Baseball is a game in which you need to hit home runs to consistently win. The pitching is too good nowadays to be relying on stringing base hits together over a long season. The disappearance of home runs from Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is frightening, even though there is still time to turn it around.

Something needs to give with Guerrero Jr., who is still drawing walks at a solid 13% clip while limiting strikeouts to a 10.4% rate. It seems that he is either chasing too many pitches outside the strike zone or not getting solid contact and hitting them into the ground.

Naturally, the depressed offense could be rationalized by injuries throughout the lineup to the likes of Alejandro Kirk and Addison Barger. The irony is that the team has actually posted solid production against top starters like Sandy Alcantara and Paul Skenes recently. Ambushing those top pitchers should buoy the Blue Jays offense, and it wouldn't hurt to maybe acquire the Miami Marlins starter via trade this summer.

At this point, Blue Jays fans would settle for Guerrero Jr. to merely replicate his 2025 regular season production when he "only" hit 23 home runs. Then the postseason arrived and Guerrero Jr. posted a ridiculous .397/.494/.795 with a 1.289 OPS. He hit eight home runs and made headlines all around the baseball world. Maybe he needs a galvanizing moment against a solid pitcher to feel really locked in at the plate.

Kazuma Okamoto's production feels sustainable because this is a player who made six All-Star teams and racked up at least 27 homers in every season from 2018-2025. Even if George Springer can't replicate his 30+ home run total from a season ago, the Blue Jays will benefit from whatever he can provide. While they will take the wins, they also need the offense to resurface on a more consistent basis.

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