Toronto Blue Jays: Current starting rotation at the moment

TORONTO, ONTARIO - SEPTEMBER 13: Alek Manoah #6 of the Toronto Blue Jays reacts after getting his third out of the eighth inning of their MLB game against the Tampa Bay Rays at Rogers Centre on September 13, 2021 in Toronto, Ontario. (Photo by Cole Burston/Getty Images)
TORONTO, ONTARIO - SEPTEMBER 13: Alek Manoah #6 of the Toronto Blue Jays reacts after getting his third out of the eighth inning of their MLB game against the Tampa Bay Rays at Rogers Centre on September 13, 2021 in Toronto, Ontario. (Photo by Cole Burston/Getty Images)
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Feb 19, 2018; Dunedin, FL, USA;Toronto Blue Jays general manager Ross Atkins looks on at Bobby Mattick Training Center. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports
Feb 19, 2018; Dunedin, FL, USA;Toronto Blue Jays general manager Ross Atkins looks on at Bobby Mattick Training Center. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports /

The Blue Jays head into the offseason with several questions around who will be in their lineup come the start of the 2022 MLB campaign.  The starting rotation has the biggest question marks going into the upcoming season, as the club primarily used six different starters during this past season, and two of them will likely hit free agency.

The most documented pitcher to become a free agent is Robbie Ray, who appears to be the front runner for the AL Cy Young Award winner.  Jon Heyman reported Saturday night that the Blue Jays give him and Marcus Semien qualifying offers, which I believe both will turn down for a contract closer to the nine figure area.  By the club giving him the qualifying offer, they will receive a compensation pick in next year’s draft if they should sign with another team.  Heyman also recently predicted on MLB Network that Ray would sign with the New York Yankees, however, he could see one of Semien or Ray returning to the Blue Jays.

Heyman reported Saturday night as well that the Blue Jays were not going to tender a qualifying offer to Steven Matz who will be turning 31 early in next season.  He is coming off a career year that saw post a 14-7 record with a 3.82 ERA, but he would not be worth the $18.4 million contract.  It was reported that the Blue Jays offered him a multi-year deal that he turned down.

So with those two pitchers gone, what does the rotation look like at this time?

TORONTO, ON – SEPTEMBER 19 Jose Berrios #17 of the Toronto Blue Jays pitches against the Minnesota Twins on September 19, 2021 at Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. (Photo by Brace Hemmelgarn/Minnesota Twins/Getty Images)
TORONTO, ON – SEPTEMBER 19 Jose Berrios #17 of the Toronto Blue Jays pitches against the Minnesota Twins on September 19, 2021 at Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. (Photo by Brace Hemmelgarn/Minnesota Twins/Getty Images) /

The pieces that are already in place

Jose Berrios – 12-9 | 3.52 ERA | 1.06 WHIP | 192 IP | 204 K
Ross Atkins paid a huge price at the trade deadline to acquire Jose Berrios who had one year of team control left.  Berrios is a work horse who is a front of the rotation type pitcher.  He has thrown at least 192 innings each season since 2018, excluding the 2020 COVID shortened year.  While he does not have a contract right now, the Blue Jays are the only team that are eligible to sign him unless he is traded.  MLB Trade Rumors gave him an estimated arbitration value of $10.9 million on a one year deal.    I am sure Atkins and Mark Shapiro are doing what they can to lock him up longer term.  With the current roster makeup, I would pick Berrios as the Opening Day starter.

TORONTO, ON – SEPTEMBER 17: Hyun Jin Ryu #99 of the Toronto Blue Jays pitches in the second inning of their MLB game against the Minnesota Twins at Rogers Centre on September 17, 2021 in Toronto, Ontario. (Photo by Cole Burston/Getty Images)
TORONTO, ON – SEPTEMBER 17: Hyun Jin Ryu #99 of the Toronto Blue Jays pitches in the second inning of their MLB game against the Minnesota Twins at Rogers Centre on September 17, 2021 in Toronto, Ontario. (Photo by Cole Burston/Getty Images) /

Hyun Jin Ryu – 14-10 | 4.37 ERA | 1.23 WHIP | 169 IP | 143 K
Hyun Jin Ryu will be entering the third year of a four year deal that pays him $20 million per season.  Ryu had a big decline in his numbers this season, which may have been caused by some injuries he was fighting through.  Had the Blue Jays made the playoffs, there could have been a chance he would have been left off of the postseason roster.

Ryu’s track record and pitching style leads me to believe he will bounce back in 2022.  When the Blue Jays signed him, I believe they did so thinking by this time of his contract he wouldn’t be the ace any longer and that looks to be the case.  Ryu took the mound in the season finale in a must-win game for the Blue Jays and he pitched quite effectively allowing just two runs through five innings to collect the win.  With no significant additions, Ryu will likely be the number two guy next year, but could be surpassed by a younger pitcher.

TORONTO, ON – OCTOBER 02: Alek Manoah #6 of the Toronto Blue Jays delivers a pitch in the first inning during a MLB game against the Baltimore Orioles at Rogers Centre on October 2, 2021 in Toronto, Ontario, Canada. (Photo by Vaughn Ridley/Getty Images)
TORONTO, ON – OCTOBER 02: Alek Manoah #6 of the Toronto Blue Jays delivers a pitch in the first inning during a MLB game against the Baltimore Orioles at Rogers Centre on October 2, 2021 in Toronto, Ontario, Canada. (Photo by Vaughn Ridley/Getty Images) /

Alek Manoah – 9-2 | 3.22 ERA | 1.05 WHIP | 111.2 IP | 127 K
Since the day the Blue Jays drafted Alek Manoah you could see he was going to be a big league ball player.  Manoah oozes confidence and has an obvious desire to get better all the time.  Manoah started the season in Triple-A Buffalo, however after three starts, which included three wins and allowing just one run over 18 innings while striking out 27, he was called up to the big leagues.

Manoah does not look like anything intimidates him as he made his Major League debut at Yankee Stadium in New York.  All he did was throw six shutout innings on seven strike outs and two hits.  Manoah had 20 starts in his rookie season, which he only allowed more than two runs in five of them.  You typically would prefer a younger guy like Manoah to be further down in the rotation, but I wouldn’t be surprised if he was one of the top two guys by the end of next season.

TORONTO, ON – JULY 30: Ross Stripling #48 of the Toronto Blue Jays delivers a pitch during a MLB game against the Kansas City Royals at Rogers Centre on July 30, 2021 in Toronto, Canada. (Photo by Vaughn Ridley/Getty Images)
TORONTO, ON – JULY 30: Ross Stripling #48 of the Toronto Blue Jays delivers a pitch during a MLB game against the Kansas City Royals at Rogers Centre on July 30, 2021 in Toronto, Canada. (Photo by Vaughn Ridley/Getty Images) /

Back of the rotation

Ross Stripling – 5-7 | 4.80 ERA | 1.27 WHIP | 101.1IP | 94K
The 2021 season was a roller coaster ride for Ross Stripling.  Early in the year he looked like he could be designated for assignment as he had a 0-3 record with a 7.20 ERA through his first six starts. However, a small change in his mechanics saved his season and maybe his career.  After the legendary Pete Walker helped Stripling change the positioning of his hands during his delivery, he went on to post a 3-1 record with a 2.35 ERA over his next eight appearances.  In fact, from the time of his pitching mechanics change after his May 19 start and until he went down with an injury on August 10, Stripling made 14 appearances and posted a 3.29 ERA while averaging almost five innings an appearance.

Stripling missed nearly a month of baseball during his injury and when he came back there was not a spot in the rotation, so he pitched out of the bullpen. Ideally in a full season, you would like to see Stripling in a similar spot he was in at the end the year, where he is used for long relief, but if an injury arises he can jump into the rotation.  Stripling is in the last year of arbitration, which MLB Trade Rumors has slated him for around $4.4 million for the season.

NEW YORK, NEW YORK – SEPTEMBER 09: Nate Pearson #24 of the Toronto Blue Jays in action against the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium on September 09, 2021 in New York City. The Blue Jays defeated the Yankees 6-4. (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images)
NEW YORK, NEW YORK – SEPTEMBER 09: Nate Pearson #24 of the Toronto Blue Jays in action against the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium on September 09, 2021 in New York City. The Blue Jays defeated the Yankees 6-4. (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images) /

Nate Pearson – 1-1 | 4.20 ERA | 1.73 WHIP | 15 IP | 20K
Originally I had Trent Thornton slated as the number five man in the rotation, but I ended up putting Nate Pearson in this spot.  I really do not want to see him in the rotation and it’s not because I don’t think he has the talent.  Pearson has had injury trouble for his entire professional career and I would like to see an entire major league season from him, which right now I feel the bullpen is the best spot.

I often think about Dustin McGowan and Aaron Sanchez with Pearson, as the team kept pushing them as starters, but had they used them as relief pitchers they may have had longer and better careers.  With that being said, Pearson has electric stuff and finished off the season very well.  After battling injures through the beginning of the season, he came back and made 11 appearances in September.  In those relief appearances, he posted a 2.84 ERA with 20 strikeouts over 12.2 innings pitched, however, over the last two seasons he has thrown a combined 63.2 innings split between the Blue Jays and Bisons.

Other options:
Trent Thornton – Made 29 starts in 2019 and made 37 relief appearances for the Jays this season.
Thomas Hatch – If Hatch could stay healthy he is likely a better option than Thornton, but he has not been able to stay off the injured list.
Anthony Kay – 2021 was a forgettable season for Anthony Kay, who couldn’t get anything going in Buffalo or Toronto.  Control and home runs have become his biggest problem that he needs to get over.
Nick Allgeyer – Made one appearance out of the Blue Jays bullpen, and led the Triple-A Bisons in innings pitched.
Jacob Waguespack – Forgotten prospect, turned 28 this week and spent entire season in Buffalo where he had a 7-2 record with a 2.86 ERA.

Ray and Semien Receive Qualifying Offers. dark. Next

Who is your current five-man rotation?

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