Toronto Blue Jays: Latest 2020-21 Offseason Predictions

The Blue Jays have been pretty much linked to almost everyone

Unlike basketball or hockey, where free agents typically come off the board once free agency starts, in baseball the offseason is developed at a much slower pace. Most players and teams aren’t necessarily in any rush to make a huge move right away as players, agents and organizations in baseball typically want to see how the market develops before doing anything.

This offseason could be slower than usual due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Many teams are expected to cry poor due to the losses they suffered without fans in the seats, and other sources of income being nonexistent during the shortened 2020 campaign.

Despite many teams expected to be cheap, the Toronto Blue Jays won’t be, as they’ve said they won’t be limited financially and they’re at an advantage due to the fact that the team is corporately owned.

So far this MLB offseason, not many free agents have signed. The MLB winter meetings where things typically start to ramp up have come and gone and very few moves were made. Big name free agents like George Springer, DJ LeMahieu, J.T. Realmuto, Trevor Bauer and others remain unsigned and could stay like that heading into the new year.

There have been some moves that have been done though that have included the Blue Jays. In fact, the Blue Jays were the first ones to strike in free agency when they brought back Robbie Ray on a one year deal worth $8 million. That definitely won’t be the Blue Jays only move though as they’ve been linked to a bevy of players including high profile ones.

Here’s what could happen with the Blue Jays this offseason.

Blue Jays sign a veteran catcher

The Blue Jays have immense catching depth in their organization. At the big league level, they employ Danny Jansen, Reese McGuire and Alejandro Kirk behind the dish. In the minors, they have prospects Gabriel Moreno and Riley Adams who were added to the 40 man roster just recently to prevent them from being exposed in the Rule 5 draft.

Even with all those guys, the Jays will bring in another catcher by signing a veteran who has experience catching major league games.

They did so last offseason when they signed Caleb Joseph to a minor league deal. While roster rules may be different this coming season, Joseph travelled with the team all season and was huge in building chemistry amongst the players. For an example of this, look no further to when he gave his speech after the Blue Jays clinched a playoff spot.

The reason why they’ll bring in a veteran catcher though is to help the development of Jansen, McGuire and Kirk. All three of those guys are young with minimal catching experience at the major league level.

By a veteran catcher, they won’t be bringing in the top one on the market in J.T. Realmuto, but they’ll sign one who they can use at the AAA level and call up in case of injuries.

Maybe a reunion with Joseph could be the cards, but other guys like Sandy Leon, Austin Romine or Matt Wieters could be a handful of guys that could be options as well.

A catcher is traded

As mentioned on the previous slide, the Jays have five catchers on their 40 man roster. Three at the major league level, and two in the minors that are getting close to being big league ready. Having five catchers on the 40 man roster is a lot to carry, and takes up space to fill other positions of need.

As the Jays simply won’t be releasing any of the five catchers they have on their 40 man roster, they’ll trade one or maybe even two of them to a team that’s in need of a catcher. Jays Journal co-site expert Chris Henderson wrote a piece on how you can bank on the Jays trading a catcher.

In regards to which one they’ll trade, none of them will be off limits for the right price.

As they Blue Jays are seemingly planning to address their offence via free agency, they’ll use the trade market to get pitching help which is where they can use their immense catching depth as bait.

At the trade deadline, the Blue Jays apparently discussed a trade with the Pittsburgh Pirates for Joe Musgrove, but the acquisition cost was Kirk, which the front office deemed too much.

They could circle back to the Pirates, who have been seeking their catcher of the future for a while. The Jays could also explore trading one of their catchers to the Tampa Bay Rays, Washington Nationals, Philadelphia Phillies, or a handful of other teams that are in need of help behind the plate.

Homecoming of sorts

Even though the Blue Jays will most likely acquire pitching help through trades as mentioned by Ross Atkins, it doesn’t mean they won’t sign a single free agent that’s a pitcher.

In fact, they will sign a free agent pitcher in the name of James Paxton, who’s a Canadian that hails from Ladner, British Columbia and is nicknamed “The Big Maple”. He even has a tattoo of a maple leaf on his right arm to show his Canadian pride.

In 2020, Paxton was limited to five starts posting a 6.64 ERA with an opponent average of .284. He was only able to make five starts due to a flexor strain in his throwing arm, which is just one of multiple injuries he has suffered throughout his career.

When healthy though, Paxton is a widely underrated pitcher. In his career he’s 57-33 with a 3.58 ERA striking out 829 batters compared to 684 hits given up in 753.1 innings pitched across 136 starts.

Signing Paxton to a “pillow contract” with a team option for a second year would work for both sides. The Jays would hope for a bounce-back season from Paxton and if he does well, they’d be able to have him for one more year.

A disappointing offseason

Every good free agent that’s available or even almost any player that’s able to sign with any team they please, the Blue Jays have been linked to them.

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Ross Atkins and Mark Shaprio have even mentioned that they’d like to add some really good players to the team this offseason.

After getting the fanbase excited all offseason about being linked to big time players and all the talk the front office has made, they will fall short of the expectations they put out for themselves and will ultimately disappoint.

They won’t be able to lure any of the top free agents north of the border in Bauer, Springer, Realmuto, LeMahieu or other big names that come to mind, nor will any trades of major significance.

Their biggest move of the offseason will most likely be bringing in Kim from Korea, and while he could do well in the major leagues, there’s no guarantee that it’ll be a smooth transition to North America.

Blue Jays fans are expecting a big name player to join the team, but the front office won’t be able to do that and the fanbase will start questioning whether Atkins and Shapiro are the right people for the job despite all the work they’ve already done in building the roster as it is. We’ll see how it ultimately plays out, but this is how I predict the rest of the winter goes for the Blue Jays.