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Blue Jays series simulation: Rangers vs Jays

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TORONTO, ONTARIO - JULY 27: Lourdes Gurriel Jr. #13 of the Toronto Blue Jays celebrates with teammate Vladimir Guerrero Jr. #27 after scoring against the Tampa Bay Rays in the first inning during their MLB game at the Rogers Centre on July 27, 2019 in Toronto, Canada. (Photo by Mark Blinch/Getty Images)
TORONTO, ONTARIO - JULY 27: Lourdes Gurriel Jr. #13 of the Toronto Blue Jays celebrates with teammate Vladimir Guerrero Jr. #27 after scoring against the Tampa Bay Rays in the first inning during their MLB game at the Rogers Centre on July 27, 2019 in Toronto, Canada. (Photo by Mark Blinch/Getty Images) /
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With the season on hold due to the COVID-19 pandemic, I’m doing a simulation based on the Blue Jays schedule using the online version of Statis Pro.

For those of you that follow Mike Wilner on Twitter, you’ve probably noticed the simulated season he’s been doing. What he’s been up to lately is very similar to what I’m doing, just that we’re using different games to do it. I have also made an account for the simulations on Instagram that can be followed @jays.simgames.

After a seven game road trip, the Jays head home to face the Rangers.

How Statis Pro Works 

More from Jays Journal

Just like a real ball game, you set your lineup by choosing each player’s spot in the batting order, and everything else that comes with managing a ball game. Basically you are the manager.

To play, you have cards that you go through that have a bunch of information on them. Each pitcher has a PB number with the lowest number starting at 2, and the highest number going at 9. For example, Hyun-Jin Ryu has a PB of 2-9 so if you flip a card with a PB of 7, you go based off the stats on his card. If you flip a card and get a PB of 11, you go based on the stats of the batter’s card.

After you flip the first card, you have to flip another card to determine the random number. Let’s say you get the first card of a PB 7 with Ryu pitching and the random number is 38. Ryu’s card may have a strikeout from the numbers 22-46, meaning if you get a PB 7 and a random number of 38, Ryu struck out whoever he faced.

Let’s say Ryu is pitching and he’s facing J.D. Martinez of the Red Sox. You flip the first card and get a PB of 10 and you flip the next card and get a random number of 26. Martinez’s card may have a double to centrefield as 24-26, meaning if you get a PB of 10 and a random number of 26, Martinez got a double off Ryu.

A few things to take into consideration with a simulated season:

  • No trades
  • No injuries for other teams unless it’s during the series against the Jays
  • No prospects can be called up
  • No standings to determine records of other teams in league

Game 63

Starting pitchers 

Blue Jays: Chase Anderson
Rangers: Lance Lynn

Lineups

Rangers

Andrus SS
Choo DH
Calhoun LF
Gallo RF
Frazier 3B
Odor 2B
Chirinos C
Santana CF
Guzman 1B

Blue Jays

Bichette SS
Panik 2B
Gurriel Jr LF
Guerrero Jr 3B
Tellez DH
Grichuk CF
Shaw 1B
Hernandez RF
McGuire C

Game recap

The Rangers exploded in the first inning as they batted around with Andrus making two trips to the plate. They scored five runs in large part due to a grand slam from Chirinos. In the 4th, Guzman started off with a walk and scored on a double from Calhoun.

The Blue Jays hit home runs in the 5th (Shaw) and the 6th (McGuire). Another homer came from Bichette in the 8th which was a two-run shot. In the 9th, the Jays got back-to-back singles to start the inning, which resulted in a run scoring and Jose Leclerc getting pulled. Bichette had the bases loaded with one out and the tying run on third, but grounded out to the pitcher which resulted in a double play.

Final score: Rangers 6 Blue Jays 5

Key stats (Rangers)

Leclerc: 0.1IP 1K 4H 0BB 1ER

Gallo: 1 for 3 with 2 walks

Chirinos: 2 for 4 with a HR and a double

Santana: 1 for 3 with a double and a walk

Key stats (Blue Jays)

Anderson: 3IP 3K 6H 4BB 6ER 1HR

Font: 4IP 7K 2H 2BB 0ER

Bichette: 2 for 4 with a HR and a walk

Vladdy: 2 for 4

Shaw: 1 for 4 with a HR

Hernandez: 2 for 4

McGuire: 2 for 4 with a HR

Game 64

Starting pitchers

Blue Jays: Hyun-Jin Ryu
Rangers: Kyle Gibson

Lineups

Rangers

Andrus SS
Choo DH
Calhoun LF
Gallo RF
Frazier 1B
Odor 2B
Solak 3B
Chirinos C
Santana CF

Blue Jays

Bichette SS
Panik 2B
Gurriel Jr LF
Guerrero Jr 3B
Tellez DH
Grichuk CF
Hernandez RF
Shaw 1B
McGuire C

Game recap

McGuire hit a 3-run shot in the 5th for the only notable offensive impact of the game. Gibson pitched really well striking out 11 over seven innings, with the only damage coming against him being the home run he gave up to McGuire.

Final score: Blue Jays 3 Rangers 0

Key stats (Blue Jays)

Ryu: 8IP 7K 4H 0BB 0ER W

Giles: 1IP 3K 0H 0BB SV

Grichuk: 1 for 3

Hernandez: 1 for 3 with a double

McGuire: 2 for 3 with a HR

Key stats (Rangers)

Gibson: 7IP 11K 4H 1BB 3ER 1HR L

Chirinos: 1 for 3

Game 65

Starting pitchers

Blue Jays: Tanner Roark
Rangers: Jordan Lyles

Lineups 

Rangers

Andrus SS
Choo DH
Calhoun LF
Gallo RF
Frazier 3B
Odor 2B
Santana CF
Travis 1B
Kiner-Falefa C

Blue Jays

Bichette SS
Gurriel Jr LF
Guerrero Jr 3B
Tellez DH
Hernandez RF
Grichuk CF
Shaw 1B
Tejada 2B
Joseph C

Game recap

The Blue Jays had a ginormous second inning where they totalled nine hits and scored eight runs. Santana started off the 3rd inning with a home run for the Rangers, but that barely put a dent in the lead. In the 6th, five players consecutively reached base safely, which resulted in four of them coming home to score. Santana hit his second home run of the game in the 7th and in the bottom of the 8th, Bichette hit a double which brought home Tejada.

Final score: Blue Jays 13 Rangers 2

Key stats (Blue Jays)

Roark: 9IP 10K 3H 0BB 2ER 2HR CG W

Grichuk: 3 for 5 with a double

Shaw: 1 for 3 with 2 walks

Tejada: 1 for 1 with 3 HBP and a walk

Key stats (Rangers)

Lyles: 1.1IP 2K 7H 2BB 8ER L

Yohander Mendez: 5.1IP 4K 6H 1BB 5ER 3HBP

Santana: 2 for 3 with 2 HR

Game 66

Starting pitchers

Blue Jays: Matt Shoemaker
Rangers: Corey Kluber

Lineups 

Rangers

Andrus SS
Choo DH
Calhoun LF
Gallo RF
Frazier 1B
Odor 2B
Chirinos C
Santana CF
Solak 3B

Blue Jays

Bichette SS
Panik 2B
Gurriel Jr LF
Guerrero Jr 3B
Tellez DH
Grichuk CF
Hernandez RF
Shaw 1B
McGuire C

Game recap 

In the bottom of the first, Chirinos had to leave the game as he got injured from a foul tip. In the 3rd, McGuire and Bichette hit back-to-back doubles that resulted in the game’s first run.

Santana hit a two-run shot in the top of the 5th for the Rangers, but that was responded in the bottom half of the inning with a homer from McGuire, and then Bichette hit a double and later scored on a single from Panik. The 6th inning started off with Gallo and Frazier each going deep but in the bottom of the inning, the Rangers were forced to use their 3rd catcher of the game as Kiner-Falefa was ejected for arguing balls and strikes. The 8th inning saw the Rangers score four which was capped off with a 3-run homer from Odor.

Final score: Rangers 8 Blue Jays 3

Key stats (Rangers)

Jesse Chavez: 4IP 5K 2H 0BB 0ER W

Choo: 3 for 5

Gallo: 2 for 4 with a HR and a walk

Frazier: 2 for 5 with a HR

Odor: 1 for 5 with a HR

Kiner-Falefa: 2 for 3

Santana: 2 for 3 with a HR and a walk

Jose Trevino: 1 for 1

Key stats (Blue Jays)

Gaviglio: 1.2IP 0K 3H 1BB 2ER 2HR L

Bichette: 2 for 4 with 2 doubles

Panik: 3 for 4 with a double

McGuire: 2 for 3 with a double and a HR

dark. Next. Who have the Blue Jays drafted with a top five pick?

Blue Jays simulation record: 40-26

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