Toronto Blue Jays series simulation: Orioles vs. Jays

With the season on hold due to the COVID-19 pandemic, I’m doing a game by game simulation based on the Blue Jays schedule using the online version of Statis Pro.

For those of you that follow Mike Wilner on Twitter, you’ve probably noticed the simulated season he’s been doing. What he’s been up to lately is very similar to what I’m doing, just that we’re using different games to do it. I have also made an account for the simulations on Instagram that can be followed @jays.simgames.

The Jays welcome the Baltimore Orioles north of the border for the first time this season.

How Statis Pro Works

Just like a real ball game, you set your lineup by choosing each player’s spot in the batting order, and everything else that comes with managing a ball game. Basically you are the manager.

To play, you have cards that you go through that have a bunch of information on them. Each pitcher has a PB number with the lowest number starting at 2, and the highest number going at 9. For example, Hyun-Jin Ryu has a PB of 2-9 so if you flip a card with a PB of 7, you go based off the stats on his card. If you flip a card and get a PB of 11, you go based on the stats of the batter’s card.

After you flip the first card, you have to flip another card to determine the random number. Let’s say you get the first card of a PB 7 with Ryu pitching and the random number is 38. Ryu’s card may have a strikeout from the numbers 22-46, meaning if you get a PB 7 and a random number of 38, Ryu struck out whoever he faced.

Let’s say Ryu is pitching and he’s facing J.D. Martinez of the Red Sox. You flip the first card and get a PB of 10 and you flip the next card and get a random number of 26. Martinez’s card may have a double to centrefield as 24-26, meaning if you get a PB of 10 and a random number of 26, Martinez got a double off Ryu.

Game 51

***With Ryu on paternity leave due to the birth of his daughter, Jacob Waguespack was called up to make a spot start.***

Starting pitchers 

Blue Jays: Jacob Waguespack
Orioles: Kohl Stewart

Lineups 

Orioles

Smith Jr LF
Alberto 2B
Hays CF
Nunez 1B
Ruiz 3B
Santander RF
Severino C
Davis DH
Iglesias SS

Blue Jays

Bichette SS
Panik 2B
Grichuk RF
Tellez DH
McGuire C
Shaw 1B
Drury 3B
Alford CF
McKinney LF

Game Recap 

The Jays got things going early with Grichuk and Tellez hitting back-to-back home runs in the first inning. Waguespack ran into a little trouble in the 2nd allowing three runs to score, but the offence helped him out in the bottom half scoring two. The Orioles scored two in 4th and no one else crossed the plate for the rest of the game.

Final score: Orioles 5 Blue Jays 4

Key stats (Orioles)

Stewart: 1.1IP 3K 6H 2BB 4ER 2HR

Tommy Milone: 6.2IP 6K 2H 0BB 0ER W

Severino: 3 for 3 with a double and a walk

Iglesias: 2 for 4 with a double

Key stats (Blue Jays)

Bichette: 2 for 5 with a double

Grichuk: 1 for 4 with a HR and a walk

Tellez: 1 for 4 with a HR

McKinney: 1 for 2 with a walk

Game 52

Starting pitchers

Blue Jays: Tanner Roark
Orioles: John Means

Lineups

Orioles

Iglesias SS
Smith Jr LF
Hays CF
Nunez 1B
Ruiz 3B
Alberto 2B
Santander RF
Davis DH
Sisco C

Blue Jays

Bichette SS
Hernandez LF
Guerrero Jr DH
Tellez 1B
Biggio 2B
Grichuk RF
Jansen C
Drury 3B
Alford CF

Game recap

In the 3rd, Roark ran into the ground a little as he gave up a two-run shot to Sisco and five hits in total that inning. In the 9th, Hays hit a home run to provide the Orioles with a little more breathing room.

Final score: Orioles 3 Blue Jays 1

Key stats (Orioles)

Means: 7IP 7K 3H 1BB 0ER W

Iglesias: 2 for 4

Hays: 3 for 4 with a HR

Sisco: 1 for 3 with a HR

Key stats (Blue Jays)

Bichette: 0 for 4 with 3 strikeouts

Biggio: 0 for 4 with 3 strikeouts

Game 53

Starting pitchers 

Blue Jays: Matt Shoemaker
Orioles: Alex Cobb

Lineups 

Orioles

Iglesias SS
Smith Jr LF
Hays CF
Ruiz 1B
Nunez 3B
Alberto 2B
Severino C
Davis DH
Santander RF

Blue Jays

Bichette SS
Panik 2B
Guerrero Jr 3B
Tellez 1B
Grichuk RF
Hernandez LF
Biggio CF
Jansen C
McKinney DH

Game recap

The Jays opened the bottom half of the first frame with the bases loaded with none out, but were only able to score one run. Tellez hit two bombs with a solo shot coming in the 4th and a two-run shot in the 7th. In the 5th, the Jays put up a run and scored another two in the 6th. Shoemaker shut down the Orioles offence limiting them to three hits the whole game, which two hits were back-to-back singles in the 8th inning, the biggest inning the Orioles had. He had a no-hitter going for 5.1 innings.

Final score: Blue Jays 7 Orioles 0

Key stats (Blue Jays)

Shoemaker: 9IP 5K 3H 0BB 0ER CG W

Bichette: 2 for 4

Vladdy: 1 for 2 with a double and 2 walks

Tellez: 2 for 4 with 2 HRs

Biggio: 2 for 4

Key stats (Orioles)

Alberto: 1 for 3

Severino: 1 for 3

Santander: 1 for 3

Game 54

Starting pitchers

Blue Jays: Chase Anderson
Orioles: Asher Wojciechowski

Lineups 

Orioles

Iglesias SS
Smith Jr LF
Hays CF
Nunez DH
Ruiz 3B
Alberto 2B
Davis 1B
Santander RF
Sisco C

Blue Jays

Bichette SS
Biggio 2B
Guerrero Jr 3B
Tellez DH
Grichuk RF
Hernandez LF
Shaw 1B
McGuire C
Alford CF

Game recap 

Nunez started off the top of the 2nd with a home run and the Orioles also scored another as Santander singled home Alberto. The Jays also started off the 2nd with a home run of their own which came off the bat of Tellez, but that was the only run scored that inning. The Jays tied it up in the 3rd inning with Alford scoring on Biggio’s double. Back-to-back double’s by Santander and Sisco brought in a run for the Orioles in the 5th, and errors by Bichette and Guerrero Jr in the 6th proved costly as the Orioles scored three in the 6th. In the bottom of the 6th, Biggio hit his second double of the game and scored on Tellez’s double. Yamaguchi was called upon to face Hays in the 7th, but ended up giving a home run which was a two-run shot.

Final score: Orioles 8 Blue Jays 3

Key stats (Orioles)

Milone: 3.2IP 4K 3H 0BB 0ER

Hays: 2 for 5 with a HR and a double

Nunez: 2 for 5 with a HR

Santander: 2 for 4 with a double

Sisco: 2 for 4 with 2 doubles

Key stats (Blue Jays)

Biggio: 2 for 4 with 2 doubles

Tellez: 2 for 4 with a HR and a double

Next: Top 10 Rule 5 selections in franchise history

Blue Jays simulation record: 33-21

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