Blue Jays series simulation: Astros vs Jays

With the season on hold due to the COVID-19 pandemic, I’m doing a game by game simulation based on the Blue Jays schedule using the online version of Statis Pro.

For those of you that follow Mike Wilner on Twitter, you’ve probably noticed the simulated season he’s been doing. What he’s been up to lately is very similar to what I’m doing, just that we’re using different games to do it. I have also made an account for the simulations on Instagram that can be followed @jays.simgames.

The Jays see the Houston Astros come north of the border for the first time since their cheating scandal was uncovered.

How Statis Pro Works

Just like a real ball game, you set your lineup by choosing each player’s spot in the batting order, and everything else that comes with managing a ball game. Basically you are the manager.

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• Anthony Bass has been the shutdown reliever the Blue Jays needed
• Blue Jays: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. open to a long-term contract
• Blue Jays: Snapping cold streaks at the right time

To play, you have cards that you go through that have a bunch of information on them. Each pitcher has a PB number with the lowest number starting at 2, and the highest number going at 9. For example, Hyun-Jin Ryu has a PB of 2-9 so if you flip a card with a PB of 7, you go based off the stats on his card. If you flip a card and get a PB of 11, you go based on the stats of the batter’s card.

After you flip the first card, you have to flip another card to determine the random number. Let’s say you get the first card of a PB 7 with Ryu pitching and the random number is 38. Ryu’s card may have a strikeout from the numbers 22-46, meaning if you get a PB 7 and a random number of 38, Ryu struck out whoever he faced.

Let’s say Ryu is pitching and he’s facing J.D. Martinez of the Red Sox. You flip the first card and get a PB of 10 and you flip the next card and get a random number of 26. Martinez’s card may have a double to centrefield as 24-26, meaning if you get a PB of 10 and a random number of 26, Martinez got a double off Ryu.

Game 47

Starting pitchers

Blue Jays: Matt Shoemaker

Astros: Lance McCullers

Lineups

Astros

Springer CF
Altuve 2B
Bregman 3B
Alvarez DH
Brantley LF
Gurriel 1B
Correa SS
Reddick RF
Maldonado C

Blue Jays

Bichette SS
Biggio 1B
Guerrero Jr 3B
Tellez DH
Grichuk CF
Hernandez RF
Jansen C
Shaw 1B
Drury LF

Game recap

Tellez bashed a two-run homer in the first and the Jays also scored another 2 runs the next inning. 3 runs came to score in the 3rd and Biggio started off the 8th with a bomb.

Final score: Blue Jays 8 Astros 0

Key stats (Blue Jays)

Font: 3.2IP 6K 1H 0BB 0ER

Biggio: 2 for 4 with HR and a walk

Tellez: 1 for 4 with HR and HBP

Jansen: 3 for 4 with a double

Key stats (Astros)

McCullers: 2.2IP 6K 8H 1BB 7ER 1HR L

Cy Sneed: 3.1IP 7K 2H 0BB 1ER 1HR

Altuve: 0 for 4 with 3 strikeouts

Alvarez: 2 for 3

Gurriel: 1 for 3 with a double

Game 49

Starting pitchers

Blue Jays: Chase Anderson

Astros: Jose Urquidy

Lineups 

Astros

Springer CF
Altuve 2B
Bregman 3B
Alvarez DH
Brantley LF
Gurriel 1B
Correa SS
Tucker RF
Garneau C

Blue Jays

Bichette SS
Panik 2B
Guerrero Jr 3B
Tellez 1B
Biggio CF
Grichuk RF
Hernandez LF
McGuire C
McKinney DH

Game recap

For the 3rd straight game, the Jays hit a home run in the first inning this time coming off the bat of Guerrero Jr. McGuire went yard in the second. In the 6th, Anderson was called on a balk which scored Springer. The Jays had a huge 7th inning as they batted around the order with Hernandez and McGuire getting two trips to the plate. Chris Devenski was brought in to face Guerrero Jr in the 7th but didn’t complete his AB as he was ejected for arguing with the umpire. Bichette went deep in the 8th.

Final score: Blue Jays 9 Astros 1

Key stats (Blue Jays)

Bass: 3IP 4K 0H 0BB 0ER

Bichette: 4 for 5 with 2 doubles and HR

Panik: 3 for 5 with 2 doubles

Vladdy: 2 for 5 with HR

McGuire: 1 for 3 with HR and a walk

Key stats (Astros)

Brad Peacock: 1.2IP 1K 2H 1BB 3ER

Gurriel: 1 for 3 with a double

Garneau: 1 for 3 with a double

Game 50

Starting pitchers 

Blue Jays: Trent Thornton

Astros: Framber Valdez

Lineups 

Astros

Springer CF
Altuve 2B
Correa SS
Alvarez DH
Brantley LF
Gurriel 1B
Reddick RF
Maldonado C
Toro 3B

Blue Jays

Bichette SS
Biggio 2B
Guerrero Jr 3B
Tellez DH
Grichuk RF
Hernandez LF
Shaw 1B
Jansen C
Alford CF

Game recap 

Reddick singled in the second which brought home Alvarez. In the top of the 3rd, Correa hit a solo shot but the 2-0 Astros lead was responded in the 4th when Tellez hit a two-run home run. To start the 5th inning, Hernandez hit a home run which ended up being the game-winner.

Final score: Blue Jays 3 Astros 2

Key stats (Blue Jays)

Giles: 1IP 3K 1BB SV

Tellez: 1 for 3 with HR

Hernandez: 1 for 3 with HR

Shaw: 0 for 3 with 3 strikeouts

Key stats (Astros)

Correa: 1 for 3 with HR and a walk

Blue Jays simulation record: 32-18

With a record of 32-18 after 50 games, where do you think the Jays would be placed in the AL East? What about the rest of the AL? With a 32-18 record, do you think the Jays would have a top 5 record in the league? Let me know in the comments