Toronto Blue Jays Series Simulation: Orioles vs. Jays

With the season on hold due to the COVID-19 pandemic, I’m doing a game by game simulation based on the Blue Jays schedule, and using the online version of Statis Pro.

For those of you that follow Mike Wilner on Twitter, you’ve probably noticed the simulated season he’s been doing. What he’s been up to lately is very similar to what I’m doing, just that we’re using different games to do it. I have also made an account for the simulations on Instagram that can be followed @jays.simgames.

Jays finish off their road trip where they head to Baltimore to face the Orioles for the third destination of facing each AL East team on the road except the Yankees.

How Statis Pro works

Just like a real ball game, you set your lineup by choosing each player’s spot in the batting order, and everything else that comes with managing a ball game. Basically you are the manager.

To play, you have cards that you go through that have a bunch of information on them. Each pitcher has a PB number with the lowest number starting at 2, and the highest number going at 9. For example, Hyun-Jin Ryu has a PB of 2-9 so if you flip a card with a PB of 7, you go based off the stats on his card. If you flip a card and get a PB of 11, you go based on the stats of the batter’s card.

After you flip the first card, you have to flip another card to determine the random number. Let’s say you get the first card of a PB 7 with Ryu pitching and the random number is 38. Ryu’s card may have a strikeout from the numbers 22-46, meaning if you get a PB 7 and a random number of 38, Ryu struck out whoever he faced.

Let’s say Ryu is pitching and he’s facing J.D. Martinez of the Red Sox. You flip the first card and get a PB of 10 and you flip the next card and get a random number of 26. Martinez’s card may have a double to centre field as 24-26, meaning if you get a PB of 10 and a random number of 26, Martinez got a double off Ryu.

Game 26

Starting pitchers

Blue Jays: Hyun-Jin Ryu
Orioles: Kohl Stewart

Lineups 

Blue Jays

Bichette SS
Biggio CF
Gurriel Jr LF
Guerrero Jr 3B
Tellez DH
Grichuk RF
Shaw 1B
Panik 2B
Jansen C

Orioles

Iglesias SS
Hays CF
Nunez 3B
Davis 1B
Alberto 2B
Smith Jr LF
Ruiz DH
Santander RF
Severino C

Game recap

The Jays opened the game with a 2-0 lead as Vladdy hit a two-run shot that also scored Bichette. In the 5th, Severino went deep to cut the Jays lead 2-1. In the 9th, former Blue Jay Miguel Castro got the first two guys out (Jansen and Bichette) but then walked Biggio and allowed a double to Gurriel Jr., which got him pulled. In came Shawn Armstrong who intentionally walked Vladdy to have a force out everywhere, which set him up to face Tellez. Tellez made Armstrong pay for walking Vladdy intentionally as he ended up hitting a grand slam.

Final score: Blue Jays 6 Orioles 1

Key stats (Blue Jays)

Bichette: 2 for 5 with a double

Vladdy: 4 for 4 with a HR

Tellez: 1 for 4 with a HR and a walk

Key stats (Orioles)

Hays: 4 for 5

Severino: 1 for 4 with a HR

Game 27

Starting pitchers 

Blue Jays: Tanner Roark
Orioles: John Means

Lineups 

Blue Jays

Bichette SS
Gurriel Jr LF
Guerrero Jr 3B
Tellez DH
Hernandez RF
Grichuk CF
Biggio 1B
Drury 2B
Jansen C

Orioles

Iglesias SS
Smith Jr LF
Hays CF
Ruiz 3B
Nunez 1B
Davis DH
Santander RF
Alberto 2B
Sisco C

Game recap

Santander started off the bottom of the 3rd with a HR. In the 5th, Drury made an error on a groundball off the bat of Alberto, which ended up being costly as he later came in to score. In the 8th, Hays hit a double that scored Iglesias. The Jays were close to getting shutout, but both Tellez and Grichuk hit doubles in the 9th.

Final score: Orioles 3 Blue Jays 1

Key stats (Orioles)

Means: 9IP 11K 8H 1BB 1ER CG W

Santander: 1 for 3 with a HR

Sisco: 1 for 2 with a walk

Key stats (Blue Jays)

Gurriel Jr: 2 for 4

Grichuk: 2 for 4 with a double

Game 28

Starting pitchers

Blue Jays: Matt Shoemaker
Orioles: Alex Cobb

Lineups 

Blue Jays

Bichette SS
Biggio 2B
Gurriel Jr LF
Guerrero Jr 3B
Tellez DH
Grichuk CF
Shaw 1B
Hernandez RF
McGuire C

Orioles

Smith Jr LF
Hays CF
Nunez 3B
Ruiz 1B
Alberto 2B
Davis DH
Santander RF
Severino C
Iglesias SS

Game recap

The Blue Jays scored two in the 1st as Gurriel Jr. hit a triple that scored Biggio, which was followed by an infield base hit from Vladdy that brought home Gurriel Jr. Last time McGuire played, he was ejected for arguing with the umpire as a catcher. This time, he got ejected again for arguing with the umpire as a hitter in the 2nd inning.

In the 5th, an infield hit from former Blue Jay Dwight Smith Jr. scored Santander. In the 7th, Bichette hit a ground ball to shortstop and as Iglesias was trying to get Bichette out at first, he made a wild throw that allowed Shaw to score. In the bottom of the 8th, Hays tried to score from second as Ruiz hit a single to right but was gunned out at home.

Final score: Blue Jays 3 Orioles 1

Key stats (Blue Jays)

Biggio: 1 for 3 with a double and a walk

Gurriel Jr: 1 for 4 with a triple

Key stats (Orioles)

Tanner Scott: 2.2IP 4K 0H 0BB

Smith Jr: 2 for 4

Hays: 2 for 4

Santander: 2 for 4

Jays simulation record: 17-11