Jays Journal Draft Event Reminder, and the JJ Top 20 Prediction

As we approach the draft, I wanted to remind everyone that I’ll be hosting a draft event for those that want to join and chat about how the draft develops. If we don’t have enough people or traffic to make it interesting, I’m sure we’ll be able to hop onto someone else’s draft blog event and make it worthwhile. I just considered that it would be that much better to have a “Jays fans perspective” on things.

Speaking of the draft, there are some new pieces of information that have come out and spoiled some of the fun by letting us know exactly who a couple of teams were going to take. Here they are:

  • 1 – The Pirates are apparently set and are taking Gerrit Cole with the 1st pick overall. He’ll join Jameson Taillon and Steston Allie within the Pirates system to give them a formidable trio of pitching prospects to count on within the next 2 years. Needless to say, these are not going to be your daddy’s Pirates any longer!
  • 2 – The Houston Astros are apparently set to take LHP Chris Reed with the 11th overall pick. This news is based on the fact that they’re trying to come to a contract agreement pre-draft. Well I said pardon? He wasn’t on anybody’s top 50 list, so it comes as a bit of a surprise. What it also means for the Jays – if true – is that everyone they had ranked shifts one slot closer to them, presuming Reed wasn’t in their top 21. The White Sox, meanwhile, won’t be happy to hear the news as they were apparently looking at Reed with a Sandwich pick.
  • 3 – The Cleveland Indians may not let Sonny Gray get by them. This news is less concrete than the Pirates or Astros news, but there’s no doubt that Gray will be a top 12 pick anyhow, so I’ll hand it to them in my list below.

With those tid-bits in mind, and about 1000 reports from various outlets telling us who will take who when, or trying to anyhow, I thought I’d give the Top 20 a shot just to see how I make out when the day is over.

1 – Gerrit Cole – Pirates

  • Apparently this pick is set. Can always change, but there it is.

2 – Anthony Rendon – Mariners

  • Could be Hultzen, but Rendon would look great in a lineup that has Ackley and Smoak in it long-term.

3 – Danny Hultzen - Diamondbacks

  • They need an ace, and Hultzen is the best on the board!

4 – Dylan Bundy – Orioles

  • Could easily wind up being better than both Cole and Hultzen. What a class!

5 – Jed Bradley – Royals

  • Considered Starling here, but I do think they’ll keep with pitching.

6 – Sonny Gray – Nationals

  • This was the toughest to come up with, but I can’t see them passing on Gray if he’s available here. He’d look great alongside Strasburg, Zimmermann and company.

7 – Francisco Lindor – Diamondbacks

  • They’re having private sessions with him for good reason.

8 – Archie Bradley – Indians

  • They have apparently been hot on his trail for a long time.

9 – Mikie Mahtook – Cubs

  • Always seem to take an odd pick. I went with Mahtook even though it’s early. Signing should be easy, and they definitely need toolsy players in their system.

10 – Bubba Starling – Padres

  • They’ve been more aggressive on the International market of late, and I do think the new regime will want to make its mark. A hard sign to be sure, but a great investment.

11 – Chris Reed – Astros

  • Apparently close to set.

12 – Taylor Guerrieri – Brewers

  • Just about everyone agrees that the Brewers will nab Taylor here. He makes a ton of sense.

13 – Trevor Bauer – Mets

  • Pitching, pitching, pitching. The Mets are starving for it!

14 – Matt Barnes – Marlins

  • I just can’t see him sliding any further…

15 – Alex Meyer – Brewers

  • Still with the pitching, Meyer makes sense for the Crew.

16 – Jose Fernandez – Dodgers

  • A relatively easy sign who could move quickly despite being so young.

17 - Javier Baez – Angels

  • Not afraid of a little personality, the Angels could take Baez here.

18 – Cory Spangenberg – Athletics

  • The Athletics have a shot at one of the best bats in the draft here.

19 - Matthew Purke - Red Sox

  • They definitely need to come up with the “next in line” guys. Purke carries health risk, but if they feel he’s good to go, they’ll jump on him here.

20 – Taylor Jungmann – Rockies

  • Although most have the Rox taking a bat here, I think they’ll jump on an arm.

That list would lead us to the 1st Jays pick, 21st overall. There is 100% certainty that I’ll be wrong on most counts, but there’s my list!

- MG

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  • Bill

    According to your list #21 would have to be Daniel Norris, if he falls, which is very possible as your list shows (especially with the Astros headscratcher) Norris has to be the man. He has #1 upside and would just make me and all Jays fans ever so happy

  • http://lotuslandtory.blogspot.com gerard

    While I would love to have George Springer fall to us, I can’t see it happening. I expect the Jays will pick someone who falls, and I’ve seen Guerrieri, Jed Bradley and Mahtook come down to us in various mocks. I’d be happy with Norris, Swihart, Cron or Wong as well.

  • Keith

    The really exciting part of this draft is that everything I have read has indicated that the 11-50 pick are of similar (high) levels. That means 3 really high quality/ talent picks for the Jays in this draft.

    I see the Jays going with a college pitcher with the first pick (#21). While Springer, Norris and Bradley would be great if they fell to us (and I agree take whichever one does), I can see the Jays going with Tyler Anderson. LHP with a Low 90s fastball and well developed secondary pitches with a work ethic and desire to win and learn. Sounds like a Left handed Deck McGuire?
    Mat your review of Tyler Anderson made me a believer. I can then see them going with a high schoolers for the rest of the pics.
    I would not be surprised to see the Jays stock up on pitching again. Especially in a draft that is so pitching deep. We can always use them to trade for position players. Plus how great were the Giants position players last year? Only good enough to get just enough runs to support the pitchers.
    What about Tampa this year? Not a high powered offense by any means.
    So I have no issues if the Jays use this draft to accumulate more pitching depth. Especially some high school talent that may be 4 – 5 years away.