What's a realistic ceiling and floor for 2025 Toronto Blue Jays?

The Toronto Blue Jays are currently in spring training and are looking to accomplish all the steps necessary to get back into the postseason after missing out in 2024.

The Blue Jays have made the postseason three times in the past five seasons thanks to a core of quality players like Bo Bichette, Vladimir Guerrero Jr., George Springer and Kevin Gausman. However, even with talented players, the Blue Jays have yet to win a postseason game in the Guerrero-Bichette era.

Even though Toronto added to its roster by swiping Anthony Santander away from the American League East rival Baltimore Orioles, there's still reason to be concerned about whether the 2025 Blue Jays will make it to the postseason or not.

Realistic ceiling and floor for 2025 Blue Jays

Ceiling: 89 wins, Wild Card birth

The American League will once again be stacked this year. The AL Central sent three teams to the postseason last year, as both the Detroit Tigers and Kansas City Royals ended their 10-year playoff drought last season while the Guardians ended up winning the division.

The Houston Astros were the only team to make the postseason from the AL West last year, but the Rangers seem poised to bounce-back this year after having a World Series hangover last year.

And things don't get much better in the AL East. New York Yankees will be eager to defend their crown after winning the pennant, while the Orioles will also look to make the postseason for the second season in a row. So, with a tough league surrounded by up-and-coming and talented teams, where do the Blue Jays have the realistic chance of finishing?

In our mind, their ceiling would be them sneaking into the postseason as a Wild Card team with 89 wins. Both of their postseason bids in 2022 and '23 came as a Wild Card team.

Making the postseason will likely be a sweat this year. Both the Tigers and Royals made the postseason last year with 86 wins, while the Seattle Mariners were just a game away with 85 wins. And if that wasn't enough, both the Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays got better in the offseason.

Floor- 70 wins, last in AL East

Last season, the Blue Jays finished last in the AL East with 74 wins and that spot in the divison could be their floor again this season — albeit with even fewer wins.

The American League might be too much for the Blue Jays to handle, which could be the biggest concern for the Blue Jays.

Springer needs to have a bounce-back season after hitting just .220 last season and the Blue Jays will also need Bichette to stay healthy after he missed 81 games last year due to injury. If Toronto's treading water in July, Bichette, Springer and Guerrero could end up being among the players the Blue Jays trade away.

If Toronto does end up trading away Bichette and Guerrero, the power in the Blue Jays' lineup would take a nosedive, which would likely also result in plenty of additional losses on the ledger.

The Blue Jays have something to prove after missing the postseason in 2024, but it still doesn't change the fact there are concerns about some parts of the roster.