Red Sox vs. Blue Jays prediction and odds for Sunday, July 2

The Boston Red Sox went from losing five straight to teams out of the vaunted AL East to winning the first two in their three-game series with the Toronto Blue Jays. Boston is up to 42-42, but still pulling up the rear in the division. Toronto has fallen to fourth with the back-to-back losses and sit at 45-39 on the year. 

For the series finale today at the Rogers Centre, the Blue Jays will need their ace to pitch like it if they want to avoid the sweep. Kevin Gausman is 7-4 with a 3.01 ERA in 17 starts, the worst of which came against the Red Sox on May 4. He will be opposed by Garrett Whitlock who is 4-3 with a 5.15 ERA and is coming off his own worst start. 

Let’s take a look at the odds for Game 3 of this AL East rivalry series in Toronto. 

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays odds, run line and total

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays prediction and pick

Last time he faced the Red Sox, Kevin Gausman got shelled for eight runs on 10 hits in 3.1 innings of work. It was an absolute disaster of an outing and he hasn’t been nearly as bad since. For his career, he has a 4.48 ERA against the Red Sox in 27 games, but that dates back to long before he was pitching at an all-star level. Last season he had a 2.65 ERA against Boston, so it’s not that the team has his number. 

Boston has caught a break in this series by facing Jose Berrios and Yusei Kikuchi who have both been very bad. That broke the Red Sox out of their slump, but Kevin Gausman can quickly send them back into one. Gausman has a 93rd percentile strikeout rate and a 2.55 FIP. He will shut down Boston and Garrett Whitlock won’t be shutting anybody down. 

The Red Sox have been searching in their starting rotation this year and they haven’t found an answer by taking Whitlock out of the bullpen.

He’s gone back and forth and had much more success in the bullpen which is where he belongs. Last time out he allowed six run on 11 hits to the Marlins, so I’ll back Toronto to get an early lead and hold onto it with Gausman going deep into the game. 

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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change