Blue Jays vs. Orioles prediction and odds for Tuesday, June 13 (Can Bassitt Stay Hot?)

Toronto Blue Jays starting pitcher Chris Bassitt (40)
Toronto Blue Jays starting pitcher Chris Bassitt (40) / Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

In most divisions, 37-30 will put you right at the top, but in the AL East that’s only good enough for fourth place. That’s where the Toronto Blue Jays sit as they head to Camden Yards for a four-game set with the 41-24 second place Baltimore Orioles. 

Tonight is the first of three in Baltimore and the first of a nine-game road trip for Toronto. The Blue Jays will hand the ball to Chris Bassitt who is 7-4 with a 3.29 ERA and is coming off two fantastic starts in a row. The Orioles who lead the season series 3-0 will counter with Dean Kremer. Kremer is 6-3 in 13 starts with a 4.89 ERA. 

Let’s get into the odds for Game 1 of this AL East rivalry. 

Blue Jays vs. Orioles odds, run line and total

Blue Jays vs. Orioles prediction and pick

This month, the Blue Jays and Orioles have both scored exactly 42 runs, but Baltimore has done that in two less games. A big reason for Baltimore’s offensive success is Gunnar Henderson who is playing like the superstar everybody expected him to be. In the past week, Henderson has three home runs and a 1.603 OPS, one of his longballs was the farthest ever to land on Eutaw Street. 

That’s what Chris Bassitt is tasked with slowing down today. Despite his recent success I wouldn’t come to expect more great outings from the 34-year-old. His expected ERA is 4.24 and his is 36th percentile in strikeout rate and 46th in expected slugging. Bassitt’s FIP is 4.67 and in his two great starts he caught the Mets and Astros both amidst an early June swoon. 

Henderson is hitting the ball well for Baltimore, but Bo Bichette has three home runs already this month for Toronto and has an .858 OPS for the season. Toronto’s lineup actually has a better OPS in June than Baltimore despite the Orioles having the same amount of runs in less games. Dean Kremer has a career 5.22 ERA against Toronto and has allowed 10 home runs in eight games. I’ll take the over tonight. 

Follow all Josh Yourish’s bets HERE

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change