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Blue Jays continue to struggle in farm system rankings, receive failing grade from MLB

”Clubs that fare well in the system rankings tend to fare well on the diamond.”
Charles Kime
Charles Kime

Jays Journal

MLB: Spring Training - Philadelphia Phillies at Toronto Blue Jays / VIEW press/GettyImages

The new MLB Pipeline farm system preseason rankings were released this weekend, and for the third season in a row, the Blue Jays farm system is ranked bottom third in baseball.

Toronto’s farm system was ranked as high as seventh ahead of the 2021 season, but has seen a precipitous fall since then to 24th in the latest update. Tellingly, none of their top prospects in that ranking have panned out as major leaguers, including Nate Pearson (No. 10 overall in the 2021 ranking), Austin Martin (No. 22), Jordan Groshans (No. 46) and Simeon Woods Richardson (No. 87).

Since then, the only significant additions to Toronto’s MLB roster from the Blue Jays farm system are Alek Manoah, Alejandro Kirk, Davis Schneider and Bowden Francis, who looks like he may break camp as the 5th starter this spring. Of course, Martin and Wood Richardson were traded for rotation stalwart José Berríos in a winning trade, and top prospect Gabriel Moreno was moved in a “win now” move for Daulton Varsho.

Certainly the top tier of the Jays’ farm system looks elite, with consensus top prospect Ricky Tiedemann looking like he will contribute to the major league roster at some point in 2024; and, despite all being among the first round of cuts from Dunedin, Alan Roden (No. 6 on Jays Journal’s top 30), Chad Dallas (No. 19) and Damiano Palmegiani (no. 16) could all also figure as injury replacement call-ups at some point this year, as could other top prospects like Orelvis Martinez (No. 3), Addison Barger (No. 4) and Leo Jimenez (No. 7).

A major concern though is that farm system rankings can be a precursor to postseason success, with MLB insiders Sam Dykstra, Jim Callis and Jonathan Mayo writing that “clubs that fare well in the system rankings tend to fare well on the diamond. Organizations with an abundance of highly rated talent on the way usually translate that into winning.”

So to see AL East peers like the Baltimore Orioles rank 1st overall for a sixth consecutive ranking — including midseason updates — points to a very competitive division that won’t get easier with Toronto’s weak farm system. The Tampa Bay Rays rank 6th, the New York Yankees are 11th and the Boston Red Sox sit at 14th.

At some point, Toronto’s front office will have to start asking questions about their player development staff.

Charles Kime

Charles Kime

My true baseball consciousness began with the great Blue Jays teams of the mid to late 1980s with Dave Stieb, Jimmy Key, Tom Henke, George Bell, Lloyd Moseby, Jesse Barfield, Tony Fernández and friends. My first ever game was at Exhibition Stadium, but I’ve also watched games from the RF porch of the old Tigers Stadium, and from both the old and new Yankee Stadium. My most memorable game was Game 5 of the 2001 ALDS when Soriano tied the game, and then Justice’s home run and Mariano put it away to help the Yankees beat Oakland 5-3 to win an emotional series that year. The stands were literally shaking. Follow @CharlieKime1 on X.