In terms of page views and feedback (both positive and negative, but thankfully mostly the former), the series was one of the most popular things I’ve done in my two-ish years of writing about the Blue Jays. As such, I’ve decided to break down the system once again, and hopefully another year of experience and knowledge will make the list that much more thorough and interesting to the readers.

The third part of the series will look at the middle infield positions. I have combined second base and shortstop, as most “second base prospects” are simply shortstop prospects who couldn’t handle the defensive demands in professional baseball. Fielding ability is the most important tool for a middle infielder, as Baseball America ranks it as the top priority for shortstops, and number two priority for second basemen. Arm strength is obviously supremely important for shortstops, ranking as second priority. On the other hand, second basemen make the shortest throws of any position, so arm strength is their least important tool. As second basemen are usually failed defensive shortstops, their offensive game needs to be a notch above. The hit tool is the highest priority, with power ranking third. Quickness is more important than raw speed, grading out as the second least important tool for both positions.

• Top middle infield prospect to reach MLB (last 5 years): Adeiny Hechavarria
• Middle Infielders in 2012 Top 30: 2
• Middle Infield WAR leaders in MLB (last 5 years): Aaron Hill (4.9), Marco Scutaro (7.4)

The King in the North

Adeiny Hechavarria – 2012 team(s): Triple-A Las Vegas, Toronto
(AAA) 443 AB, .312/.363/.424 (.788 OPS), 20 2B, 6 3B, 6 HR, 63 RBI, 8 SB, 38/86 BB/K
(MLB) 126 AB, .254/.280/.365 (.645 OPS), 8 2B, 0 3B, 2 HR, 15 RBI, 0 SB, 4/32 BB/K

Aug 14, 2012; Toronto, ON, Canada; Toronto Blue Jays third baseman Adeiny Hechavarria (3) bats against the Chicago White Sox at the Rogers Centre. The White Sox beat the Blue Jays 3-2. Mandatory Credit: Tom Szczerbowski-US PRESSWIRE

Adeiny Hechavarria is the best middle infield prospect Toronto has developed since Aaron Hill, but that speaks more about the barren wasteland J.P. Ricciardi had for a farm system than his pure talent. The Cuban signed a four year Major-League deal back in April of 2010, and with 10 million in total value, he’s the most expensive International acquisition in Blue Jays history. Before players like Alex Rodriguez, Nomar Garciaparra, and the Derek Jeter revolutionized the position in the mid-to-late 1990’s, the shortstop’s top priority was run prevention, not run generation. Things have changed, as while defense is still important, shortstops are now expected to carry some weight on the offensive side as well. Adeiny Hechavarria has more in common with the shortstops of old, and his ultimate value will depend upon how well he can modernize his offensive game.

As Blue Jays fans saw over the final two months of the 2012 season, there is a bit of offensive potential to dream on. At the plate, Hechavarria looks like a capable hitter. His stance is very simple and calm, with his front side bordering on closed. He holds his hands low, as his swing is more conducive to line drives than shear power, and he wants to be as quick to the ball as possible. When Hechavarria swings, he quickly pulls his hands through the zone with good bat speed and just the slightest of uppercuts. It’s a significantly different swing than what we saw in the past, as Las Vegas 51s hitting coach Chad Mottola worked wonders with him this season. Previously, Hechavarria was wild and overaggressive at the plate, creating a long swing path with way too many exposable holes. He can still be a bit undisciplined, but his approach is further along than I had expected. His power potential isn’t enormous by any means, but 10-12 home runs annually aren’t out of the question.

Throughout his minor league career, Hechavarria had played 332 games at shortstop and just eight at second base. Despite this, in his 41 games in Toronto, he received only 13 starts at his natural position. It was five fewer starts than he received at third base, where he had never previously played in his career. To top it off, he sprinkled in another eight starts at second base for the Blue Jays. His raw defensive ability was resoundingly clear, as regardless of position his actions were smooth, his reactions were quick, and his throws were strong and accurate. Hechavarria’s footwork is exceptional, as his first step almost always seems to be the correct one. Even when he makes a mistake, his athleticism usually allows him to recover in time to make the play. His best position was shortstop, and he proved surprisingly strong at third base (though his bat would never work there). Some issues crept up at second base, however. On plays that required him to turn his back to the play – usually setting up double plays – he got a bit backwards and his footwork often led to either inaccurate or mistimed throws. It could be a concern if the Blue Jays expect him to play second base in more than a pinch.

His immediate future is a bit clouded, as while second base is likely to have an opening next season after Kelly Johnson’s departure, both his presently below average offense and footwork problems make that an imperfect fit. Hechavarria is much better suited for shortstop, but that would require Yunel Escobar to be elsewhere. Given how busy this coming offseason is likely to be, that’s well within the realm of possibility, but is anything but a guarantee. If things don’t play out in his favor, he’ll likely start the year down in Triple-A Buffalo, waiting for the call.

On the Rise

Christian Lopes – 2012 team(s): Rookie-Bluefield, Low-A Vancouver
223 AB, .278/.339/.462 (.801 OPS), 17 2B, 6 3B, 4 HR, 33 RBI, 6 SB, 17/40 BB/K

Christian Lopes playing for Team USA (Image via MLBDraftCountdown.wordpress.com)

Had Hechavarria played a few more games and lost his rookie (and therefore prospect) eligibility, Christian Lopes would have been the top dog in the middle infield category. As it stands, he’s only a step or two behind anyways. Lopes came from the 2011 draft, and like Matt Dean on the corner infield primer, he was paid a bonus well above the number suggested by the Commissioner’s office for his slot. A seventh round pick, Lopes received 800 thousand dollars to forgo his scholarship to USC and join the Blue Jays organization. He was signed on deadline day, and as such his professional debut was delayed until this past summer. On a Bluefield squad riddled with top prospects, Lopes took off and began separating himself from the pack.

Lopes was drafted as a shortstop, but the Blue Jays have already shifted him over to second base almost full time. Of his 58 games played, 43 came at second base. He still played in ten games at shortstop and another five at designated hitter, but it’s resoundingly clear where his future lies. The reasoning behind the move is that, despite a very normal sounding build at 6-feet and 185 pounds, Lopes is left a bit wanting in the athleticism department. He has some quickness, but his raw speed is below average leading to sub-par range. Furthermore, his arm strength is a very iffy tool as well. You can get away with that at the high school level, but in professional baseball, that’s simply not going to cut it at shortstop.

Fortunately, his bat is more than playable at second base, and is the main reason some draft experts thought he could go as high as the first round prior to a disappointing senior season at Edison High School. Lopes faces the pitcher with a very open stance, allowing him to track pitches well as they approach the zone. He’s very quiet at the plate, holding his hands low before gearing up for the swing. He double taps his front foot – something that may eventually need to be cleaned up – before striding and spinning his hips with nice weight transfer. Lopes has excellent bat speed, and despite only just turning 20 he has a very mature plate approach. He works the count, has a good two-strike approach, and isn’t afraid to use the opposite field if the pitch dictates doing so. The power should continue to develop as he matures physically, with the potential for 30+ doubles and 15+ home runs over a full season being very reasonable expectations.

He only played 10 games for Vancouver at the end of the 2012 season, but I’d be a little surprised if Lopes wasn’t pushed to full season ball with Lansing in 2013. The Midwest League can be a rough environment in which to hit, but Lopes has the bat skills to handle such an assignment. Another year in short season ball would be wasted development time. There are no strong middle infield prospects in the levels directly ahead of him, so the speed at which he advances is fully dependent upon his performance.

The Question Mark

Dickie Thon Jr – 2012 team: Rookie-Bluefield
149 AB, .221/.331/.309 (.640 OPS), 5 2B, 1 3B, 2 HR, 14 RBI, 7 SB, 19/34 BB/K

Dickie Thon Jr at minor league camp during the spring of 2012 (Photo credit: John Lott of The National Post)

Ever since the Blue Jays selected Thon in the fifth round of the 2010 draft, his career has been a tumultuous one. Shortly after the draft, rumors surfaced that Richard Thon, Dickie’s father, was hoping to see his son selected by his former team, the Houston Astros. Furthermore, not only did he involve himself in the negotiations a little more than he likely should have, but he also made some aspects of their discussions open to the public when they should have been kept behind closed doors. Hurt feelings were prevalent, as apparently the Thon family was expecting Dickie to go higher than the fifth round. Leading up to the signing deadline it looked unlikely a deal would get done, but the team managed to find a way to get him under contract; an agreement that would include a hefty 1.5 million dollar signing bonus. That kind of money was usually reserved for mid first round picks, so one can quickly surmise just how highly the organization thought of the Puerto Rican high school player. Despite the hype he had a shaky 2011 debut, which was particularly surprising given the conservative Gulf Coast League assignment. Thon’s walk rate and athleticism were impressive, but his contact and power generating abilities were less than stellar. Some of that could be blamed on health, as a blood disorder during the spring sapped him of much of his strength. Questions about his long term future are really beginning to creep in after yet another rough showing for Bluefield in 2012.

Thon’s best trait is his athleticism, which is evident just by looking at him. Everything he does is smooth. His stance at the plate is relaxed, with his feet shoulder width apart and his front side slightly open. When Thon swings, he drops his front shoulder, strides forward, and follows through with a controlled swing designed for line drives. He has quick hands and a great eye at the plate, which makes his offensive struggles mind boggling. Thon is more fundamental than flash on defense, but has proved more than capable of handling shortstop at the professional level thanks to soft hands and good footwork. His arm is on the iffy side, but is not a liability. Thon’s struggles this season have really blurred his future, as while a .640 OPS doesn’t scream promotion, is a third year in short season ball (after he didn’t play in his draft year) really the best move? If the Blue Jays still think he’s a legitimate prospect, they’re almost forced to see if he’ll sink or swim in Lansing.

Remember the Name(s)

Franklin Barreto – 2012 team: N/A

Barreto was the highest rated international free agent in 2012, and agreed to terms with the Blue Jays on July 2nd (Photo by Alexander Mendoza)

Not only was Franklin Barreto the Blue Jays top acquisition during the 2012 International Free Agency period, he was the best player available according to expert Ben Badler of Baseball America (though some may reconsider that if Jairo Beras were brought into consideration). Toronto had reportedly been sniffing around Barreto for a long time, and once the signing period officially opened on July 2nd, they wasted no time in getting their man. The 16 year old was signed out of Venezuela for 1.45 million dollars, taking up a significant portion of the Blue Jays 2.9 million dollar IFA pool as per Major League Baseball’s new amateur talent regulations. Barreto has been in the spotlight for years, as his international tournament career began at the age of 10, and he’s won MVP after MVP in various 12-and-under and 14-and-under events over the years. Now that he’s officially under contract, the Blue Jays are hoping he can carry over that success into professional baseball in 2013.

Barreto is a shortstop now, but his long term future may be second base or in center field. It’s not due to lack of speed or arm strength, as he’s exceptional and solid in the two categories respectively. The problem lies with his defensive actions. Unlike Hechavarria and Thon, Barreto’s a bit rough at shortstop. His footwork and first step aren’t efficient, which creates problems even plus speed can’t make up for. Still, at just 16 years of age, there’s plenty of time for him to work things out. Fortunately, he has more than enough offensive game to be a legitimate prospect at second base or center field if such a move is inevitably required. Barreto has quick hands with a short swing and excellent pitch recognition, and could develop into an above average hitter with solid power potential. He’s an advanced enough hitter that I expect the Blue Jays will start him off in the Gulf Coast League next season, with the possibility of a late season promotion to Bluefield or Vancouver within the realm of possibility.

Dawel Lugo – 2012 team: GCL Blue Jays
170 AB, .224/.275/.329 (.604 OPS), 2 2B, 5 3B, 2 HR, 20 RBI, 5 SB, 7/25 BB/K

Dawel Lugo playing in the Dominican Republic (Image via DPLBaseball.com)

Dawel Lugo is yet another prospect who joined the organization through International Free Agency. He was a part of the rich – both in terms of talent and money – 2011 crop, the final period that, for all intents and purposes, was unregulated. Lugo received a 1.3 million dollar contract, which fell just short of Roberto Osuna for the highest bonus given to a Blue Jays acquisition that summer. Signed out of the Dominican Republic, the now 17 year old Lugo made his professional debut stateside in 2012. It’s a bit surprising, as often times Latin players so young will spend a season in the Dominican Summer League, getting adjusted to the professional regime while remaining in a culture they’re comfortable in. Instead, Lugo skipped the DSL altogether and was assigned directly to the Gulf Coast League in Florida. His statistics were modest, but little weight should be placed upon complex league numbers by such a young player, particularly in Lugo’s circumstances.

Lugo is in a similar position to Barreto in that while he’s currently playing shortstop, he’s very, very raw at the position. His arm strength is a huge asset to him, so if does eventually slide down the defensive spectrum, third base is a legitimate option. He was signed for his bat, however, and has the offensive potential to be an above average regular at third base if not a star at shortstop. Obviously that’s a long ways off and the uncertainty is tremendous, but he has the type of swing scouts love. His hands are lightning fast, and his plate coverage is off the charts. That often works against him, however, as he’ll swing at pitches he really shouldn’t because he knows he can put them in play anyways. As he matures as a baseball player and gets further exposed to North American coaching, that aggressiveness should be reeled back, allowing his contact ability to really shine. Lugo has power potential as well, as he already has a strong 6-foot-1, 185 pound frame at just 17 years old. Depending upon how he looks in extended spring training, Lugo could wind up at either Bluefield or the Gulf Coast next summer. As with every big name International Free Agent there’s a ton of risk, but he’ll be a name to remember next year and beyond.

(Bryan Green/Flickr)

Born in Houston, Texas, Dickie Thon grew up in the United States before moving to Puerto Rico to attend high school. He was no stranger to Puerto Rico before high school though, or to baseball in general at a young age.

“I moved to Puerto Rico freshman year, but every summer and winter I would go back there to play. I played a bit of Little League in the States. In Puerto Rico I played with Las Lomas; that’s where I developed as a player,” Thon said.

While attending  Academia Perpetuo Socorro in San Juan, Thon used his overall athletic gifts to play basketball and volleyball as an outside hitter for the Puerto Rican national youth team. Thon, who can run the 60 meters in a 6.6 seconds, showcased his speed in Puerto Rico in track and field as well, competing in the 100 meters and long jump as well as becoming the reigning high school champion in the 200 meters.

Thon played baseball primarily for Las Lomas while he was in Puerto Rico because his high school did not have a baseball team, and he feels that having the unique opportunity of playing baseball in two different countries will help him out in the long run.

“It was a good experience. I got to play baseball in two different cultures and I consider myself a fusion of both styles of play,” he said.

Growing up, Thon and his father spent time watching old movies, the New York Yankees’ YES network and classic baseball games together, while talking about baseball overall. Dickie Joe watched tapes and documentaries of Mickey Mantle, his favorite baseball player, who retired in 1968, 23 years before Thon was born. Mantle is definitely a good choice for a favorite baseball player, but Thon was not as specific when asked what his favorite baseball team was.

“Mickey Mantle is my favorite player but really I’ve never had a favorite team. I could say the [Houston] Astros of the 80′s because of my dad,” he said.

Who exactly was Thon’s dad?

That would be Dickie Thon Sr., a former Major League shortstop who had stints with the Angels, Astros, Padres, Phillies, Rangers, and Brewers. Touted as a future Hall of Famer by some, Thon Sr. is best known for when his career was permanently altered on April 8, 1984 when he was hit in the face by a fastball from New York Mets pitcher Mike Torrez. The pitch broke the orbital bone around Thon Sr.’s left eye, ending his season, and when he returned in 1985 he just wasn’t the same, suffering from problems with depth perception. Looking back at the incident, many people have thought about what Thon Sr.’s career could have been like had he not suffered the injury.

Following his father’s footsteps as a shortstop, Thon Jr. had never experimented play anywhere else on the diamond.

“Not really [no], I was raised playing shortstop and love that position,” he said.

Aside from good baseball genes and growing up in the game of baseball, Thon’s father has given him his fair share of advice over the years as well.

“Ever since I was little he guided me to play the correct way. I always remember he told me, ‘once you become a professional, you are one 24/7, and when you play, always give the fans their money’s worth. Give the fans a show,’” Thon said.

Even though he’s described as a raw player from a developmental standpoint, Thon has already exhibited above-average tools across the board. Scouts feel he’s farther away from the Majors than most people think, but his great speed, plus arm, fringe power, and above-average plate discipline should help him develop into an effective Major League shortstop in the future.

When asked what aspect of his game he feels is the strongest, Thon mentioned something not normally found on a traditional scouting report.

“I think my attitude towards the game. I was brought up to have the most respect to the game and to play your heart out every play,” he said.

The Blue Jays must have understandably been impressed with not only Thon’s skill set, but also his maturity towards the game, as they selected him with their 5th round selection (156th overall) in the 2010 draft.

Thon was far from surprised that Toronto was the team that wound up selecting him, though.

“I was actually practicing, and Toronto [being] the team [that] selected me wasn’t really a surprise. They were present the whole year, and they have selected many great Puerto Rican players so I thought it was a great opportunity,” he said.

Image courtesy of Bryan Green via Flickr

Drafting Thon was the easy part for the Jays. Managing to sign him was widely considered the hard part.

After apparently turning down a more lucrative scholarship to the University of Florida, Thon signed a letter of intent with Rice University. His commitment to the school was rumored to be so strong that many clubs were nervous about drafting him due to their skepticism about being able to actually sign him. The Jays, however, always remained interested, even if it involved taking a risk.

“All teams knew how my approach towards the draft was. The Jays were always around despite that,” Thon said.

Thon’s father also felt very strongly about his son attending Rice. Many were skeptical the Jays would be able to sign Thon after his father had some interesting comments in an interview with FOX 26 Houston about how the Jays were handling his son’s signing process.

“Toronto wanted to take Joe in the compensatory round, but we couldn’t agree [on the signing bonus],” Thon Sr. said.

“[He] is not a fifth-rounder and I don’t like the way [Toronto] treated him during the draft. They kept calling to see if we were going to come down. Our commitment is very high to Rice and it is going to take a lot for him to go to Toronto. He is committed to Rice and I’m leaning toward Rice. He is going to be a better player after going to Rice.”

When negotiations got a little dicey, Thon and his family turned to Jose Cruz. A familiar face for Blue Jays fans, it was the same Jose Cruz Jr. who spent over five Major League seasons in a Jays uniform.

“The Cruz family is very close to my family, since our parents played a lot together. Cruz Jr. is my agent , [so] they helped out with the negotiations,” Thon said.

In the end, the Blue Jays were able to pry Thon away from his commitment to Rice, agreeing on a $1.5 million signing bonus. The bonus was a clear example of how money is there for GM Alex Anthopoulos from Rogers, as it was $1,338,900 above the recommended slot amount and more money than 12 first round draft picks signed for.

At the time of the draft, after his comments to FOX 26 Houston were published, it seemed fair to assume that Thon’s father and the Blue Jays must have soured their relationship as a result. Thon Jr. was able to set the record straight on that when asked if there was actually any bad blood between his father and the Blue Jays.

“Not at all, we have a good relationship with the Jays, the negotiations went very well. The only thing we asked for was to make an agreement with enough time to notify Rice [of] my decision, which [the Blue Jays] respectfully did,” he said.

Thon was far from disappointed or surprised that he was selected in the 5th round, too.

“I knew how the draft was. The fact [the Blue Jays] gave me the opportunity to play pro for them was an honor, and I’m very proud to be a part of this organization,” he said.

Shortly after the signing was officially announced, Thon was able to get his first taste of professional baseball with the Jays. He reported to the Jays’ instructional league in the fall and definitely liked what he saw.

“It was a great experience, [my] first taste of pro ball. I can’t wait to head back,” he said.

Despite being new to the Blue Jays organization, Thon saw some familiar faces when he arrived at the instructional league.

“A couple of guys like Justin Nicolino, Angel Gomez and my roommate A.J. Jimenez,” he said.

After the instructional league, Thon increased his offseason workload to better prepare for his first professional spring training.

“I played winter ball in Puerto Rico with the Gigantes de Carolina, but now I’m practicing in the morning and training in the afternoon,” he said.

It was recently announced that Thon has reported to Dunedin as 1 of 35 minor league prospects that were invited to take part in the Blue Jays’ mini-camp. It’s unclear if the situation has changed since, but at least at the time of this interview, Thon said that the Jays haven’t let him know where he’ll play in 2011 yet.

“No idea, it all depends how you show up in spring training and how you produce,” he said.

Even though he’s considered to be far away from the Majors right now, Thon is yet another prospect with a high ceiling that is a welcome addition to the Blue Jays’ minor league system. With all of the shortstop prospect attention being focused on Adeiny Hechavarria, Blue Jays Director of Amateur Scouting Andrew Tinnish recently said that he wouldn’t be surprised if Thon was just as good as, if not better than, Hechavarria.

If that becomes the case, the Jays could have an embarrassment of riches at shortstop for years to come.

-JM

Image courtesy of Bryan Green via Flickr

#18 Dickie Joe Thon

Shortstop / 19 years old / 6′2″ 185 lbs

Born: November 16th, 1991 in Houston, Texas

Bats: Right    Throws: Right

High School: Academia Perpetio Socorro (San Juan, Puerto Rico)

College: Had signed a letter of intent with Rice University

Drafted By: The Toronto Blue Jays in the 5th round (156th overall) in the 2010 First-Year-Player Draft

Jersey Number: #5 in the Blue Jays’ Instructional League

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