Don’t Trade Travis Snider

Buy low, sell high.

Alex Anthopoulos has followed this adage for much of his tenure as the Blue Jays’ general manager, and to rave reviews.

Alex Gonzalez, Tim Collins and Tyler Pastornicky for Yunel Escobar and Jo-Jo Reyes.

Image courtesy of thestar.ca

Brandon League for Brandon Morrow.

Marc Rzepczynski, and Jason Frasor, among others, for Colby Rasmus.

AA’s puzzling acquisition of Ben Francisco on Monday has many wondering if a Jay outfielder is on his way out of town. If this is the case, I hope it’s not Travis Snider.

After struggling to a .225/.269/.348 wOBA .273 line in 49 MLB games last season, Snider’s value is at a low point. His .327/.394/.480 line in AAA may look nice on paper, but you probably already know that those numbers are inflated by the extremely hitter-friendly PCL. The .480 slugging percentage is also qualified by his lackluster .153 ISO, as Snider only managed to hit four home runs in Las Vegas last year.

When you compare Snider’s potential trade value today to what it was after he destroyed AAA at 21 (wOBA .462/48 G), or when he played respectable ball in the majors at 22 in 2010 (wOBA .331/82 G), his value is clearly at an all time low.

The Jays need to give Snider the job in left field in 2012 and see what happens; his upside is too great to cut and run. Eric Thames is a decent player, but I don’t believe he is going to hit enough as a corner outfielder to make up for his below average defense. Thames is the type of player the Jays should consider moving, as he has low upside and is coming off a good season.

Maybe Snider will fulfill his potential in 2012, maybe he won’t, but at the very least the Jays need to give him the opportunity to increase his value.

-SB

Like what you read and want to stay informed on all updates here at Jays Journal? Follow us on Twitter (@JaysJournal), “Like” our Facebook page, or grab our RSS feed!

Topics: Alex Gonzalez, Ben Francisco, Colby Rasmus, Eric Thames, Jason Frasor, Marc Rzepczynski, Tim Collins, Travis Snider, Yunel Escobar

Want more from Jays Journal?  
Subscribe to FanSided Daily for your morning fix. Enter your email and stay in the know.
  • Eagles11

    In a perfect world, Thames would be traded in a package for a starter or top notch reliever and Snider the starting LF given the chance to increase his own value. During the 2012 offseason the Jays can then either look to trade Rasmus or Snider to make room for Gose. If Rasmus is not wanting to move to LF, then he could be traded and if he is comfortable moving then Snider could be traded with his increased value given the chance to play the entire 2011 season in LF.

    The Rumour I am liking is the Beltran signing. Sign Beltran to say 4-6 years and have him platoon LF with who ever isn’t traded, either Thames or Snider.

  • Eagles11

    In a perfect world, Thames would be traded in a package for a starter or top notch reliever and Snider the starting LF given the chance to increase his own value. During the 2012 offseason the Jays can then either look to trade Rasmus or Snider to make room for Gose. If Rasmus is not wanting to move to LF, then he could be traded and if he is comfortable moving then Snider could be traded with his increased value given the chance to play the entire 2011 season in LF.

    The Rumour I am liking is the Beltran signing. Sign Beltran to say 4-6 years and have him platoon LF with who ever isn’t traded, either Thames or Snider.

  • gnor

    @Eagles11 Beltran is only 34, and I am sure he would not sign anywhere that he didn’t have a guaranteed job in centre or right field, No platoons, no DH, no left field.

  • gnor

    Last year, they were trying to get Snider to hit from a more open stance so he could get a better look at the ball. After all, he’s strong as an ox, and you only have to hit it so far before it’s a home run. He would hit like crazy for a while, but gradually he would close up, and couldn’t pick up the down and away stuff until it was too late. Back to AAA. He’s trying to change something he’s been doing his whole life, and it’s not easy. Sooner or later, he’s going to figure it out, and I sure hope he’s a Blue Jay when he does!

  • gnor

    My take on value is that the vast majority of The Blue Jays’ top prospects have yet to play above the A/AA level, and as such, the entire farm system is under-valued. 2012 is the year when this infusion of talent makes it’s way to the AAA team, and by the end of this season, there will be a pile of guys knocking on the big league door.

    IMHO, this is a year when The Blue Jays should give everybody a chance to play out the season, and make a thorough assessment of what they have. Plus, the farm system will be much more valuable by the end of this year, and it won’t cost so much in terms of numbers to make up the same trade value. In addition, trading a player like Nestor Molina would not have hurt so much if there had been a few guys like McGuire, Hutchinson, et. al., pitching in AAA.

  • gnor

    @Eagles11 Beltran is only 34, and I am sure he would not sign anywhere that he didn’t have a guaranteed job in centre or right field, No platoons, no DH, no left field.

  • gnor

    Last year, they were trying to get Snider to hit from a more open stance so he could get a better look at the ball. After all, he’s strong as an ox, and you only have to hit it so far before it’s a home run. He would hit like crazy for a while, but gradually he would close up, and couldn’t pick up the down and away stuff until it was too late. Back to AAA. He’s trying to change something he’s been doing his whole life, and it’s not easy. Sooner or later, he’s going to figure it out, and I sure hope he’s a Blue Jay when he does!

  • gnor

    My take on value is that the vast majority of The Blue Jays’ top prospects have yet to play above the A/AA level, and as such, the entire farm system is under-valued. 2012 is the year when this infusion of talent makes it’s way to the AAA team, and by the end of this season, there will be a pile of guys knocking on the big league door.

    IMHO, this is a year when The Blue Jays should give everybody a chance to play out the season, and make a thorough assessment of what they have. Plus, the farm system will be much more valuable by the end of this year, and it won’t cost so much in terms of numbers to make up the same trade value. In addition, trading a player like Nestor Molina would not have hurt so much if there had been a few guys like McGuire, Hutchinson, et. al., pitching in AAA.

  • ace frehley

    I’m on the fence with Snider. I agree his trade value is at an all time low and I’m sure AAA is filled with high picks who could never adapt to a major league cutter. Having said that, he’s young and he comes cheap. I’d give him 2 months as a starter and then consider dangling him if he’s hitting above .250

  • ace frehley

    I’m on the fence with Snider. I agree his trade value is at an all time low and I’m sure AAA is filled with high picks who could never adapt to a major league cutter. Having said that, he’s young and he comes cheap. I’d give him 2 months as a starter and then consider dangling him if he’s hitting above .250