2010 Jays Draft Picks Performance Reviews for 2011 Season

As we sit here and await word on whether some of the highest Jays picks of the 2011 draft sign, I thought it would be interesting to review who the Jays drafted in 2010 and how they have performed thus far. I’m also including updates on those who did not sign in order to provide an indication of whether they were worth the attempt to sign them at all. Once you’ve read through, I’ll also provide my thoughts on the draft class at the end. Although we can’t rate Alex Anthopoulos and his newly formed scouting crew yet and will need to wait another 2-3 years before doing so, there’s a lot of information that we can review based on 2010 performances.

Here is the entire 2010 Jays draft class!

Rd Ovrall Player P Lvl GP AVG/
ERA
Whip/
OBP
AA/
SLG
BB/
2B
Ks/
HRs
IP/
SB
1 11 Deck McGuire RHP HiA/AA 22 3.06 1.393 0.233 45 121 108
1s 34 Aaron Sanchez RHP RK 10 5.97 1.619 0.287 18 36 37.2
1s 38 Noah Syndergaard RHP RK/SS 10 1.80 1.385 0.225 14 51 45
1s 41 Asher Wojciechowski RHP HiA 21 5.14 1.514 0.299 28 78 105
2 61 Griffin Murphy LHP GCL 9 5.09 1.613 0.301 14 35 35.1
2 69 Kellen Sweeney 3B RK 9 0.114 0.295 0.143 1 0 1
2 80 Justin Nicolino LHP SS 11 1.14 0.756 0.160 11 61 47.1
3 93 Christopher Hawkins 3B RK 53 0.301 0.349 0.495 11 5 11
3s 113 Marcus Knecht OF LoA 103 0.293 0.392 0.492 30 13 2
4 126 Sam Dyson RHP Back on Mound after TJ Surgery in early June. Should be ready for 2012 season.
5 156 Dickie Thon SS GCL 35 0.263 0.402 0.379 2 3 5
6 186 Sean Nolin LHP LoA 21 4.01   0.263 26 83 85.1
7 216 Mitchell Taylor LHP RK 11 2.44   0.208 13 52 48
8 246 Logan Ehlers LHP Unsigned – Was suspended for 60% of season in Nebraska by NCAA for Illegal contact w/adviser who had Ehlers refuse $800K from Jays. Went 1-3 w/4.30 ERA and .276 AA (15 BB/20 SO). 
9 276 Brandon Mims SS On Temporary Inactive List for 2011 Season (unk reason)
10 306 Tyler Shreve RHP Unsigned – Will be QB at UTAH this season
11 336 Shane Opitz 2B SS 45 0.271 0.314 0.299 5 0 6
12 366 Omar Cotto OF Unsigned – Hit a meager .073 (3 for 41) for USC this yr.
13 396 Tyler Painton LHP Unsigned – DNP as a Freshman for U of SD
14 426 Dayton Marze RHP LoA 37 4.52 1.425 0.268 28 62 73.2
15 456 Zak Adams LHP GCL 7 9.00 1.810 0.232 19 28 21
16 486 Dalton Pompey OF RK 46 0.263 0.374 0.411 9 5 22
17 516 Myles Jaye RHP RK 10 3.00 1.262 0.242 14 24 42
18 546 Kris Bryant 3B Unsigned – .365/.482/.599 w/9 HR in 197 AB for U of SD
19 576 Travis Garrett RHP SS 17 3.72 1.345 0.257 13 29 29
20 606 Art Charles LHP RK 53 0.234 0.336 0.493 15 11 1
21 636 Chris Marlowe RHP Unsigned – 5.04 ERA, 34 BB/71 Ks, .180 AA for OKL
22 666 Aaron Westlake OF Unsigned – .344/.463/.640 w/18 HR in 250 AB for Vander
23 696 Angel Gomez OF GCL 30 0.250 0.305 0.292 2 0 5
24 726 Ronald Melendez OF GCL 8 0.214 0.290 0.286 2 0 1
25 756 Brando Tessar RHP Unsigned – 13 GP, 2.08 ERA, 10BB/10K for Oregon
26 786 Jay Johnson LHP Unsigned – Drafted and signed by PHI this year
27 816 Eric Arce C Unsigned, Drafted by Jays again in 25th rd of 2011(Signed)
28 846 Adaric Kelly RHP GCL 12 7.02 2.100 0.371 9 13 16.2
29 876 Jonathan Jones OF SS 81 0.270 0.353 0.358 17 2 21
30 906 Stephen McQuail 2B SS 46 0.195 0.279 0.409 5 10 1
31 936 Luis Benitez RHP Unsigned – Playing for State College of Florida
32 966 Andy Fermin 2B RK 46 0.269 0.370 0.434 14 5 1
33 996 Melvin Garcia OF RK 29 0.170 0.260 0.193 2 0 2
34 1026 Tyler Powell RHP LoA 16 4.73 1.292 0.259 15 27 45.2
35 1056 Danny Barnes RHP LoA 36 2.21 0.860 0.171 14 87 57
36 1086 David Whitehead RHP Unsigned – 4.84 ERA, 41BB/47Ks, .233 AA for Elon
37 1116 Chad Green RHP Unsigned – 1.93 ERA, 16BB/23 Ks, .217 AA for UofLou
38 1146 Pierce Rankin C SS 29 0.220 0.339 0.340 3 3 2
39 1176 Nick Vander Tuig RHP Unsigned – 2.90 ERA, 9 saves, 8BB/31 Ks for UCLA
40 1206 Brandon Berl RHP LoA 22 3.03 1.290 0.271 7 28 35.2
41 1236 Seth Conner 3B GCL 40 0.291 0.415 0.455 8 4 3
42 1266 Drew Permison RHP SS 27 3.48 1.261 0.245 11 25 31
43 1296 Ronald Schreurs LHP Unsigned – 8.07 ERA, 31 BB/ 37 K, for FCSL
44 1326 Mott Hyde 2B Unsigned – .275/.352/.393, 4 HRs, in 229 AB for Georgia
45 1356 Phil Diedrick OF Unsigned – .294 in 17 AB in the Frontier Ind. League
46 1386 Connor Smith RHP Unsigned – unknown for 2011
47 1416 Gabriel Romero RHP Unsigned – unknown for 2011
48 1446 Nick Studer C Unsigned – .261 in 23 AB for Baseball Canada’s Tm Ont
.246 average in 69 Abs (5 doubles) for Western Texas
49 1476 Matt Abraham 2B GCL 15 0.121 0.318 0.121 7 8 0
50 1506 Kelly Norris-Jones C Unsigned – .064 in 47 AB for Kelowna Falcons.

Draft Class Thoughts:

First, the Jays could have really stole the show if they had been able to get both Kris Bryant and Aaron Westlake under contract. Both players are raking in College now and will likely get drafted in the first few rounds once eligible for the draft once again. Second, most of the other “non-drafteds” seem to be sound moves as most of them are struggling to do well in 2011. The biggest surprise to me, of the class, is Logan Ehlers and his refusal of an $800K bonus. I wish I had those kahunas.

In terms of those who did sign, the list of highly touted pitchers and their performances listed above proves one major point: nothing is ever guaranteed when it comes to pitching. As it is, the most statistically impressive performances for pitcher as listed above are Nicolino, Syndergaard, McGuire, and Taylor. Some somewhat disappointing performances from Sanchez, Wojciechowski, and Murphy. A few surprises exist in Nolin and Barnes. Overall, the pitching is a mixed bag with a half dozen guys who could make a big impact on the big club.

For the hitters, nobody has disappointed as much as Sweeney, but it’s obvious that his injury had something to do with that. After a rough start, Hawkins is turning it on and may be one of the best performers of 2010. However, Marcus Knecht and Dalton Pompey take the crown as the best hitting 2010 draftees this season. Eric Arce has blossomed in the GCL after finally signing as a 2011 draftee, while Dickie Thon, Shane Opitz, JoNathan Jones, and Art Charles have held their own at their respective levels.

As a Jays fan, you have to be happy that the organization spent a ton on this draft class and seemingly has a ton of players making headway towards The Show. There are only a few players that have truly performed above expectations (Nicolino, Knecht, Syndergaard and Pompey), but it’s still a class with tons of promise and a lot of projection remaining.

I’m not sure whether or not the Jays will successfully sign the players who have yet to sign from the 2011 class, but if they can’t recognize that this organization is the one they should be playing for because it’s building for a generation of playoff contention, it’s their loss. The Jays are on the right road, and the 2010 class above proves that. Mixed with the currently young roster and stars such as Jose Bautista, Adam Lind, and Yunel Escobar, these picks and those of 2011 should go a long way to making the Jays a true contender in the best division of all of baseball.

My very early and preliminary rating of this class is an A for pitching, and a B for hitting, only because the Jays were aggressive and could have earned an A- had they signed Bryant and Westlake. We’ll see how much that changes following next season!

– MG

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