Post '10 Draft Top 20 Jays Prospects

As the GCL Jays and Auburn Doubledays season is set to kick off, and the draft has just been completed, I thought we should take a peak at what the Jays have in terms of prospects by doing a top 20 prospects review. Here is the list according to Jays Journal:

  1. Brett Wallace, 1B/3B (AAA) 23 - no change
  2. Travis d’Arnaud, C (HiA) 20 - no change
  3. Kyle Drabek, SP (AA) 22 - no change
  4. Jake Marisnick, OF (LoA) 19 – begins 2010 season end June
  5. JP Arencibia, C (AAA) 24 – up
  6. Henderson Alvarez, SP (HiA) 20 – up
  7. Adeiny Hechavarria, SS (HiA) 21 - down
  8. Zach Stewart, SP (AAA) 23 - down
  9. Michael McDade, 1B (HiA) 20 - moving up
  10. Carlos Perez, C (LoA) 19 - no change, begins 2010 season end June
  11. Daniel Farquhar, RP (AAA) 23 - up slightly
  12. Chad Jenkins, SP (LoA) 22 - slightly down
  13. Darin Mastroianni, OF (AA) 24 - no change
  14. Tim Collins, RP (AA) 20 - moving up
  15. AJ Jimenez, C (LoA) 19 – *new on list
  16. Ryan Schimpf, 2B (LoA) 22 - up slightly
  17. Aaron Sanchez, SP (-) - newly drafted, signed
  18. Noah Syndergaard, SP (-) – newly drafted, signed
  19. Asher Wojciechowski, SP/RP (-) – newly drafted, signed
  20. Sean Ochinko, C (LoA) 22 – new on list

I decided to drop Brad Mills from the top 20 because I just don’t believe his stuff will play well in MLB and that he may wind up in the pen when all is said and done – David Purcey style. I put the sandwich pick in, and not Deck McGuire, simply because their ceilings are all higher than Deck’s. AJ Jimenez gets lots of love for his breakout season, while the usual suspects in HiA and AA fill the 14 to 11 spots. Chad Jenkins has dropped out of the top 10 as he was expected to dominate in LoA at this point, instead of simply doing well. A promotion may or many not be in the cards for him, but he still looks to be 2-3 years away at this point.

Another guy who’s dropped down is Adeiny Hechavarria, who like many Cubans before him has had a hard time adjusting to professional ball in the U.S. He is still in the top 10 because I have faith that he’ll turn things around, and that when he does it will be nothing short of spectacular. Zach Stewart has also dropped down a bit, but I expect he’ll be promoted sometime soon and that he could have an impact on the Jays come September. However, the highlights of this list are JP Arencibia and Jake Marisnick – one who is finally proving me right in hammering the ball like he’s swatting flies, and one who’s about to begin his professional career and electrify Jays fans from coast-to-coast. They fill the 4-5 spots right now, but really all top 5 Jays prospects could be #1 as they all have specific strengths that will make them regular impact players on the Jays sometime soon!

Overall, I give the Jays prospects an 8.5 out of 10 score, with the possibility of becoming a 9 after the July 2nd signings begin. Jays fans should love what they have on board and feel confident that the Jays are headed in the right direction.

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Tags: Aaron Sanchez Adeiny Hechavarria AJ Jimenez Asher Wojciechowski Brett Wallace Chad Jenkins Darin Mastroianni Henderson Alvarez Jacob Marisnick JP Arencibia Kyle Drabek Noah Syndergaard Sean Ochinko Tim Collins Travis D'Arnaud Zach Stewart

  • Mark

    How far away is Wallace?

  • Mat Germain

    Wallace is getting hot again at the plate, getting a .341 average over his last 10, but he hasn’t hit a single HR and only has 2 extra base hits (2 doubles) over that span. So, as much as I’d love to say it’s very soon, I can’t see the Jays doing it while they’re still in contention because they feel it would put undue pressure on such a young and inexperienced kid.

    Besides, Lyle Overbay is giving the Jays exactly what Wallace is giving AAA Las Vegas since he has a .333 average in June and a .414 OBP with no homers. It’s not low enough to get rid of him, and it’s not low enough to replace him with Wallace, especially in the midst of a pennant race.

    So, having said all that, I think Wallace is one extended slump away from the majors. If the Jays ever fall more than 10 games behind the leaders, I believe they’ll begin to pull the triggers “for the future”. I think the Nick Green acquisition, although minor, is an indication that for now, the Jays are small buyers and would like to tinker with this team to see if they can make a go of it.

    I hope they can – how outstanding would that be? Move over Cinderellla, because this would bring fairy tales to a new level!

  • Mark

    I see your point Mat. I wonder if trading Overbay given his contract expires would be a good move. Yes he’s playing well, but that’s what other teams would want to trade for anyway.

    It would put pressure on Wallace, but it isn’t exactly unprecedented for a rookie to help a contending team. In fact thinking of recent champions the Red Sox did it in 2007 with Jacoby Ellsbury, the Angels did it in 2001 with K-Rod, the Cardinals did it with Wainwright and I’m sure there are other examples. I guess they would be best served waiting until he is hitting for the power that he’s expected to hit for so he can come in more confident.

  • Mat Germain

    Actually, I do believe I heard something during today’s game that has me thinking that the Jays have something else entirely in mind for 1B if they do trade Lyle Overbay. Apparently, Adam Lind has started working out at 1B extensively and could be doing so in order to make some room in the order when Travis Snider returns to the lineup. There would be a rotation of OFers doing the DH job instead of relying on Brett Wallace who may or may not be ready. This would still get an asset for Lyle for the Jays – making fans happy in the process instead of losing him for nothing at the end of the year – and it also allows the Jays to keep the remainder of the roster intact when Travis returns.

    It could also be that the Jays would alternate between Adam and Brett Wallace at 1B to ease Brett into his role, but I doubt the Jays want either one to get partial playing time.

    I do like those examples Mark, because if Brett can emulate what they did, the Jays should have no problem remaining competitive the rest of the season.

  • Mark

    Ha well I’m a Sox fan, but I love that the AL East is more interesting this year and enjoy watching teams who have been absent from a pennant race get into one. I’d really like to see the Orioles turn the corner too – it’s just good for baseball.

    Thanks for the info on Lind at first base. That’s great…I’ve been following your site for a little while by the way I go to it over the Toronto Star for news on the Jays. Keep it coming!